Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Ostsport


	Rot-Weiß Erfurt		Lokomotive Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.3	2.42
	2.5	3.5	2.61
	2.64	3.26	2.36
	2.9	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.14)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	2.4 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Erfurt
34.4%

Draw
27.2%

Lokomotive Leipzig
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.2%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Erfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rot-Weiß Erfurt's performance.

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotive Leipzig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rot-Weiß Erfurt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotive Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rot Weiß Erfurt - Lokomotive Leipzig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotive Leipzig (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Adetula A. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Abderrahmane F. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', Ikene S. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Lokomotive Leipzig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Erfurt
German Regionalliga Nordost
26.09.25	Hertha Berlin II - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Chemnitzer	2:2 ✺
16.09.25	Chemie Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Preussen - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:4 ✺
31.08.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Magdeburg II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWWW
- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
01.10.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Babelsberg	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Hertha Berlin II - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:7 ✺
13.09.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Luckenwalde	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	Eilenburg - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
18.05.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:4
01.12.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:0
13.04.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1
29.10.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:0
11.03.23	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:0
30.09.22	Lokomotive Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:0
15.12.19	Lokomotive Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:1

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