Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Relegation - Final

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rot-Weiß Essen		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.75
	2.82	3.6	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.85	2.31
	3	3.58	2.27	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.92	3.62	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.82)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	2.47 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
34.8%

Draw
26.8%

Greuther Fürth
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.7%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

27.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

Rot Weiß Essen - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Fürth will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fürth: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (C) 23. Rios Alonso J. 15. Huning B. 33. Kraulich T. 37. Hofmann J. 24. Mizuta K. 39. Swajkowski G. 26. Musel T. 2. Kostka M. 7. Safi R. 9. Cuber Potocnik J.	43. Prufrock S. (G) 23. Dehm J. 15. Elvedi J. 4. Ziereis P. 27. Itter G. 13. Will P. 30. Klaus F. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 7. Srbeny D. 47. Ltaief S. 9. Futkeu N.
Substitutes
11. Abiama D. 14. Brumme L. 20. Janssen M. 18. Kaiser N. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 16. Reisig R. 4. Schultz M. 35. Wienand F. (G)	28. Arifi D. 44. Avlayici M. 6. Banse S. 25. Bjarnason B. 26. Boevink P. (G) 33. Dietz M. 37. Green J. 18. Higl F. 16. Keller A.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Vogel H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Rios Alonso J. 🟨,
17', Hrgota B. 🟨,
26', Dehm J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Musel T. ⚽,
67', Srbeny D. ↓, Arifi D. ↑,
70', Safi R. ↓, Abiama D. ↑,
70', Cuber Potocnik J. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
73', Dehm J. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
76', Swajkowski G. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
76', Kostka M. ↓, Brumme L. ↑,
84', Ltaief S. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
89', Mizuta K. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
90', Ziereis P. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Greuther Furth: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Rot-Weiß Essen - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.88%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Greuther Fürth - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.45%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
16.05.26	Ulm 1846 - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Rot-Weiß Essen	6:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Saarbrücken	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Energie Cottbus - Rot-Weiß Essen	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
17.05.26	Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Greuther Fürth - Darmstadt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTLW

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