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Current Win Probability
Erzgebirge Aue 33%
Draw 25.8%
Rot-Weiß Essen 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
25.1%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
24.5%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
28.6%
28.6%
Erzgebirge Aue - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Aue (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (C) 17. Fallmann P. 13. Majetschak E. 25. Zobel T. 23. Barylla A. 20. Fabisch J. 11. Uhlmann E. 8. Clausen M. 19. Guttau J. 34. Stefaniak M. 39. Schmid M.
1. Golz J. (G) 37. Hofmann J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 23. Rios Alonso J. 14. Brumme L. 32. Bazzoli L. 28. Moustier T. 7. Safi R. 6. Arslan A. 24. Mizuta K. 29. Mause J.
Substitutes
9. Bornschein R. 29. Collins J. 24. Ehlers J. 22. Lord L. (G) 16. Malone R. 37. Seidel P. 5. Simnica L. 14. Tashchy B. 7. Weinhauer E.
19. Bouebari F. 25. Bruning M. (G) 20. Janssen M. 18. Kaiser N. 33. Kraulich T. 26. Musel T. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 39. Swajkowski G.
Coaches
Hartel J.
Koschinat U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Guttau J. ⚽, Clausen M. (A),
24', Schultz M. ↓, Kraulich T. ↑,
38', Guttau J. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Kraulich T. ⚽, Moustier T. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Guttau J. ⚽, Stefaniak M. (A),
45+2', Barylla A. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Moustier T. 🟨,
57', Majetschak E. 🟨,
61', Safi R. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
62', Moustier T. ↓, Musel T. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Obuz M. ⚽, Mizuta K. (A),
69', Schmid M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
69', Guttau J. ↓, Malone R. ↑,
73', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
78', Stefaniak M. ↓, Ehlers J. ↑,
78', Uhlmann E. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
88', Arslan A. ↓, Owusu K. ↑,
88', Mause J. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
89', Collins J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 3.
Aue has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rot-Weiß Essen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aue won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
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Mannel M. (C) 
Fallmann P. 
Fabisch J. 
Moustier T. 
Safi R. 
Mizuta K. 
Collins J. 
Malone R. 
Simnica L. 
Tashchy B. 
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