Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: LEAG Energie Stadion (Cottbus) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Austria	20:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	16:45	Disney+
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Finland	21:45	Veikkaus TV
France	20:45	New World TV
Germany	20:45	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hungary	20:45	Sport 1
India	01:15	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:45	SupeSport ESPN 2
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Slovakia	20:45	Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	21:45	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	20:45	Gol Play
Switzerland	20:45	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+


	Energie Cottbus		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	8	7	1.25	Watch
	9.8	6.4	1.21	Watch
	40.00	18.34	1.00	Watch
	9.7	6.3	1.24	Watch
	8.75	6.75	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.25 ↑ (7)	8.96 ↑ (5)	1.19 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Energie Cottbus
6.5%

Draw
11%

RB Leipzig
82.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.6%

19%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

18.2%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Energie Cottbus's form might have worsened.

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Energie Cottbus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	12.5%	81.2%

Energie Cottbus - RB Leipzig Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Funk M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 2. Manu K. S. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 24. Lucoqui A. 11. Hannemann M. 5. Pelivan D. 20. Borgmann A. (C) 10. Cigerci T. 31. Butler J. 37. Biankadi M.	26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 5. Bitshiabu E. 22. Raum D. (C) 13. Seiwald N. 6. Banzuzi E. 14. Baumgartner C. 9. Bakayoko J. 40. Romulo Cardoso 7. Nusa A.
Substitutes
19. Boziaris J. 4. Campulka T. 18. Engelhardt E. 21. Guwara L. 8. Michelbrink L. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 1. Sebald A. (G) 44. Straudi S. 7. Thiele T.	49. Diomande Y. 27. Gomis T. 1. Gulacsi P. (G) 11. Harder C. 16. Klostermann L. 23. Lukeba C. 33. Maksimovic A. 20. Ouedraogo A. 24. Schlager X.
Coaches
Wollitz C.	Werner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Bakayoko J. ⚽, Orban W. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
33', Biankadi M. 🟨,
37', 0 - 3, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Awortwie-Grant N. ↓, Campulka T. ↑,
46', Biankadi M. ↓, Engelhardt E. ↑,
46', Baumgartner C. ↓, Schlager X. ↑,
47', Baku R. 🟨,
59', 0 - 4, Banzuzi E. ⚽, Baku R. (A),
60', Butler J. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
61', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
63', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
63', Nusa A. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
64', Baku R. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
72', Seiwald N. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
72', Lucoqui A. ↓, Guwara L. ↑,
72', Rorig H. ↓, Straudi S. ↑,
86', 1 - 4, Engelhardt E. ⚽, Borgmann A. (A),
90+3', Raum D. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

In this match, RB Leipzig is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Energie Cottbus - TSV Havelse	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	Ulm 1846 - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen	3:2 ✺
30.09.25	Hansa Rostock - Energie Cottbus	1:3 ✺
26.09.25	Energie Cottbus - VfB Stuttgart II	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
18.10.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	RB Leipzig - Köln	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTWW

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