Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: LEAG Energie Stadion (Cottbus)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	Disney+
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	New World TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hungary	Sport 1
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	Gol Play
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Energie Cottbus		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	8	7	1.25	Watch
	9.8	6.4	1.21	Watch
	40.00	18.34	1.00	Watch
	9.7	6.3	1.24	Watch
	8.75	6.75	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.25 ↑ (7)	8.96 ↑ (5)	1.19 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Energie Cottbus
6.5%

Draw
11%

RB Leipzig
82.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

19%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

18.2%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Energie Cottbus's form might have worsened.

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Energie Cottbus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	12.5%	81.2%

Energie Cottbus - RB Leipzig Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Funk M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 2. Manu K. S. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 24. Lucoqui A. 11. Hannemann M. 5. Pelivan D. 20. Borgmann A. (C) 10. Cigerci T. 31. Butler J. 37. Biankadi M.	26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 5. Bitshiabu E. 22. Raum D. (C) 13. Seiwald N. 6. Banzuzi E. 14. Baumgartner C. 9. Bakayoko J. 40. Romulo Cardoso 7. Nusa A.
Substitutes
19. Boziaris J. 4. Campulka T. 18. Engelhardt E. 21. Guwara L. 8. Michelbrink L. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 1. Sebald A. (G) 44. Straudi S. 7. Thiele T.	49. Diomande Y. 27. Gomis T. 1. Gulacsi P. (G) 11. Harder C. 16. Klostermann L. 23. Lukeba C. 33. Maksimovic A. 20. Ouedraogo A. 24. Schlager X.
Coaches
Wollitz C.	Werner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Bakayoko J. ⚽, Orban W. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
33', Biankadi M. 🟨,
37', 0 - 3, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Awortwie-Grant N. ↓, Campulka T. ↑,
46', Biankadi M. ↓, Engelhardt E. ↑,
46', Baumgartner C. ↓, Schlager X. ↑,
47', Baku R. 🟨,
59', 0 - 4, Banzuzi E. ⚽, Baku R. (A),
60', Butler J. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
61', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
63', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
63', Nusa A. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
64', Baku R. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
72', Seiwald N. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
72', Lucoqui A. ↓, Guwara L. ↑,
72', Rorig H. ↓, Straudi S. ↑,
86', 1 - 4, Engelhardt E. ⚽, Borgmann A. (A),
90+3', Raum D. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

In this match, RB Leipzig is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Energie Cottbus - TSV Havelse	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	Ulm 1846 - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen	3:2 ✺
30.09.25	Hansa Rostock - Energie Cottbus	1:3 ✺
26.09.25	Energie Cottbus - VfB Stuttgart II	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
18.10.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	RB Leipzig - Köln	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTWW

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