Match Info

3. Liga - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.42	3.55	2.58
	2.56	3.82	2.54
	2.60	3.44	2.50	Watch
	2.39	3.58	2.57	Watch
	2.42	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.4)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	2.56 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
37.5%

Draw
26%

Energie Cottbus
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

25.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	70%	20%

Ulm 1846 - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Cottbus will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Cottbus (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cottbus (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 28. Scholze M. 21. Seegert M. 15. David J. 32. Kolle N. 14. Dressel D. (C) 8. Westermeier B. 11. Chessa D. 23. Brandt M. 43. Dajaku L. 9. Roser L.	33. Funk M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 2. Manu K. S. 4. Campulka T. 24. Lucoqui A. 5. Pelivan D. 11. Hannemann M. 20. Borgmann A. (C) 10. Cigerci T. 18. Engelhardt E. 7. Thiele T.
Substitutes
33. Anderson Brown E. 49. Becker A. 17. Besong P. 31. Ehe B. 4. Etse J. 2. Gorlich L. 25. Loder E. 19. Meier J. 1. Schmitt M. (G)	37. Biankadi M. 19. Boziaris J. 31. Butler J. 21. Guwara L. 8. Michelbrink L. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 1. Sebald A. (G) 44. Straudi S. 25. Tattermusch T.
Coaches
Glasbrenner M.	Wollitz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Hannemann M. 🟨,
53', Dajaku L. 🟨,
58', Roser L. 🟨,
60', Lucoqui A. 🟨,
66', Westermeier B. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Cigerci T. ⚽,
72', Hannemann M. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
73', Dajaku L. ↓, Anderson Brown E. ↑,
73', Westermeier B. ↓, Loder E. ↑,
73', Chessa D. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
73', Thiele T. ↓, Butler J. ↑,
73', Funk M. 🟨,
74', Roser L. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
78', Lucoqui A. ↓, Guwara L. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Scholze M. ⚽, Brandt M. (A),
89', Pelivan D. 🟨,
90+1', Besong P. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Engelhardt E. ⚽, Rorig H. (A),
90+5', Engelhardt E. 🟨,
90+7', Cigerci T. ↓, Tattermusch T. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In recent matches, Ulm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cottbus is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ulm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Augsburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	4:1 ✺
01.10.25	Ulm 1846 - Schweinfurt	5:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hoffenheim II - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWTW
- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen	3:2 ✺
30.09.25	Hansa Rostock - Energie Cottbus	1:3 ✺
26.09.25	Energie Cottbus - VfB Stuttgart II	5:0 ✺
21.09.25	Verl - Energie Cottbus	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLW

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