Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)


	Rotherham United		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.8	1.95	Watch
	3.20	3.40	1.93
	3.45	3.45	1.92	Watch
	3.3	3.71	2.04
	3.3	3.84	2	Watch
	3.2	3.6	1.94
	3.3	3.5	1.96	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.79)	3.61 ↓ (3.76)	1.97 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
28.1%

Draw
25.4%

Bradford City
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.8%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

24.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotherham United's form might have worsened.

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Rotherham United - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Bradford will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bradford (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cann T. (G) 2. Rafferty J. (C) 26. Douglas H. 16. Adegboyega E. 5. Ngwenya K. 8. Spence K. 6. Ashley O. 23. Nemane A. 15. Fitzgerald J. 24. Buyabu J. 9. Bradshaw T.	1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Welch R. 14. Matthews H. 5. Gillesphey M. (C) 29. Ibbitson H. 22. Morgan K. 20. Cartwright H. 27. O'Keeffe C. 32. Lapslie G. 24. Swan W. 11. Humphrys S.
Substitutes
4. Austerfield J. 36. Duncan H. 13. Eyestone J. (G) 12. Hall D. 17. Kaleta M. 38. Richardson K. 40. Thornton J.	6. Connolly C. 31. Hadi Z. (G) 28. Pennington M. 8. Phillips A. 23. Pointon B. 25. Powell N. 16. Pratt G.
Coaches
Bruce A.	Trueman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Swan W. ⚽, O'Keeffe C. (A),
11', 0 - 2, Humphrys S. ⚽,
17', Buyabu J. 🟨,
43', Fitzgerald J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 3, Swan W. ⚽,
64', Buyabu J. ↓, Kaleta M. ↑,
64', Spence K. ↓, Austerfield J. ↑,
64', Ashley O. ↓, Richardson K. ↑,
67', Lapslie G. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
74', Swan W. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
74', Adegboyega E. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
81', Austerfield J. 🟨,
81', Ngwenya K. ↓, Duncan H. ↑,
86', 0 - 4, Powell N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2.

Rotherham has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bradford is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bradford could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Bradford has had a run of games away from home.

Bradford is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:5 (averaging 1.5:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rotherham against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.5 per game).

Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now

Bradford City: 3.78% Rotherham: 1.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Rotherham United - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.47%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Bradford City - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.69%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League Two
03.10.26	Exeter City - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Rotherham United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	York City - Rotherham United	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Northampton Town - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Rotherham United - Salford City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWWT
- Bradford City
English League One
03.10.26	Reading - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Bradford City - Newcastle United U21	2:1 ✺
English League One
19.09.26	Luton Town - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Notts County - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Leyton Orient - Bradford City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.02.26	Bradford City - Rotherham United	1:0
02.10.25	Rotherham United - Bradford City	2:2
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Rotherham United - Bradford City	0:1
19.11.24	Bradford City - Rotherham United	0:1
English League One
23.01.18	Rotherham United - Bradford City	2:0
English EFL Trophy
07.11.17	Bradford City - Rotherham United	0:3
English League One
16.09.17	Bradford City - Rotherham United	1:0

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