The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rotherham United 44.9%
Draw 26.5%
Crewe Alexandra 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
26.2%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
25.5%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
30.8%
23.1%
Rotherham United - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Eyestone J. (G) 12. Hall D. 27. Iorfa D. 14. Aljofree S. 23. Nemane A. 8. Spence K. 6. Ashley O. 24. Buyabu J. 4. Austerfield J. 9. Bradshaw T. 10. Mullin P. (C)
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. (C) 6. Offord L. 12. Stephenson J. 4. Ure K. 17. Holicek M. 10. White J. 9. March J. 11. Tabiner J. 14. Gibson J. 29. Thibaut A.
Substitutes
16. Adegboyega E. 1. Cann T. (G) 26. Douglas H. 15. Fitzgerald J. 17. Kaleta M. 2. Rafferty J.
30. Dancey S. 7. Lankester J. 13. Lawlor I. (G) 19. Lunt O. 23. McNeill C. 32. Moore L. 8. Thomas C.
Coaches
Bruce A.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Stephenson J. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Iorfa D. (Own goal),
41', Bradshaw T. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Mullin P. ⚽, Spence K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Bradshaw T. ↓, Rafferty J. ↑,
58', Spence K. ↓, Fitzgerald J. ↑,
58', Nemane A. ↓, Kaleta M. ↑,
65', Ure K. 🟨,
67', Holicek M. ↓, Lunt O. ↑,
67', Gibson J. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
73', Thibaut A. ↓, McNeill C. ↑,
73', White J. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
84', Tabiner J. ↓, Moore L. ↑,
90+1', Ashley O. ↓, Douglas H. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 14th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 4.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Rotherham has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Crewe has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rotherham holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Rotherham: Agbaire L.
(Inactive)
Duncan H.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Rotherham: Jellis J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Crewe: Thomas C.
(Inactive).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:12 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rotherham against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Crewe: 3.91% Rotherham: 0.87%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Crewe
10
4
6
0
12:7
5
18
20
Rotherham
10
2
4
4
12:16
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.