The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 44.7%
Draw 27.4%
Bradford City 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
26.4%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
27.5%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Luton Town - Bradford City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shea J. (G) 33. Ashby H. 2. Odoffin H. 5. Andersen M. 6. Johnston G. 16. Gore D. 8. Walsh L. (C) 7. Richards J. 45. Palmer K. 11. Lawrence E. 9. Marshall C.
21. McCracken J. (G) 28. Pennington M. 15. Baldwin A. 16. Pratt G. 7. Neufville J. 23. Pointon B. 6. Connolly C. 3. Touray I. 10. Sarcevic A. (C) 19. Jackson K. 9. Beesley J.
Substitutes
18. Clark J. 10. Donley J. 25. Jones I. 24. Keeley J. (G) 30. Kodua G. 3. Naismith K. 21. Wells N.
1. Dawson C. (G) 5. Gillesphey M. 11. Humphrys S. 22. Morgan K. 27. O'Keeffe C. 8. Phillips A. 25. Powell N.
Coaches
Wilshere J.
Alexander G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Pointon B. ⚽, Jackson K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Connolly C. 🟨,
60', Gore D. 🟨,
62', Neufville J. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,
62', Beesley J. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
66', Palmer K. ↓, Clark J. ↑,
67', Sarcevic A. 🟨,
72', Morgan K. 🟨,
75', Richards J. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
75', Lawrence E. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
75', Gore D. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
83', Ashby H. 🟨,
84', Odoffin H. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
84', Baldwin A. ↓, Gillesphey M. ↑,
85', Pointon B. ↓, O'Keeffe C. ↑,
90+4', Gillesphey M. 🟨,
90+5', Ashby H. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ League One Playoffs).
Recent results have been tough for Luton (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Bradford have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Luton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Luton holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Luton: Ashby H.
(Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Benagr B.
(Injury)
Clark J.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Injury)
Morris S.
(Inactive)
Sandal S.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Bradford: Wright T.
(Inactive).
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Luton has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:3 (averaging 2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Luton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 3:0.5 per game).
Outrights of English League One for now
Bradford City: 8.09% Luton: 6.34%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Bradford City
9
5
2
2
8:5
3
17
13
Luton
8
3
2
3
16:15
1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Bradford City - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Shea J. (G) 
Ashby H. 
Andersen M. 
Palmer K. 
Marshall C. 
Touray I. 
Jones I. 
Keeley J. (G) 
Wells N. 
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