Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 33

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)


	Rotherham United		Watford

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.95
	4	3.4	1.95
	3.95	3.46	1.96	Watch
	4.09	3.35	2
	4.25	3.43	1.99
	3.9	3.3	1.91
	3.79	3.44	2.01	Watch
	3.95	3.4	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.07)	3.4 ↓ (3.51)	1.97 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
23.8%

Draw
28%

Watford
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

27%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

25.5%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	14.3%	64.3%

Rotherham United - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Watford will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (G) 40. Kioso P. 22. Odoffin H. 23. Morrison S. 24. Humphreys C. 28. Revan S. 12. Rinomhota A. 27. Tiehi C. 18. Rathbone O. 14. Wyke Ch. 29. Nombe S.	26. Hamer B. (G) 24. Dele-Bashiru T. 15. Pollock M. 4. Hoedt W. (C) 6. Lewis J. 3. Sierralta F. 18. Asprilla Y. 39. Kayembe E. 11. Kone I. 9. Rajovic M. 12. Sema K.
Substitutes
7. Cafu 8. Clucas S. 9. Eaves T. 17. Ferguson S. 10. Hugill J. 16. Lindsay J. 21. Peltier L. 26. Phillips D. (G) 38. Seriki F.	45. Andrews R. 1. Bachmann D. (G) 16. Chakvetadze G. 25. Dennis E. 59. Grieves J. 7. Ince T. 8. Livermore J. 37. Matheus Martins 42. Morris J.
Coaches
Richardson L.	Ismael V.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 0.

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Watford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Watford is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League Championship
13.02.24	Rotherham United - Hull City	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Leeds United - Rotherham United	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Rotherham United - Southampton	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Middlesbrough - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Rotherham United - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLLTL
- Watford FC
English League Championship
13.02.24	Norwich City - Watford	4:2 ✺
10.02.24	Watford - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.02.24	Southampton - Watford	3:0 ✺
English League Championship
03.02.24	Watford - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
31.01.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Watford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
11.11.23	Watford - Rotherham United	5:0
21.01.23	Watford - Rotherham United	1:1
03.09.22	Rotherham United - Watford	1:1
16.03.21	Rotherham United - Watford	1:4
08.12.20	Watford - Rotherham United	2:0
24.02.15	Watford - Rotherham United	3:0
19.08.14	Rotherham United - Watford	0:2

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