Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 30

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Rotherham United		Southampton

	1	X	2
	10	5	1.33
	8.75	5.25	1.34
	9.25	5.4	1.32
	8.8	5.09	1.35
	9.18	5.68	1.34
	9.5	4.75	1.3
	8.7	5.2	1.34	Watch
	8.6	5.2	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.1 ↑ (8.45)	5.2 ↑ (4.92)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
10.4%

Draw
18.3%

Southampton
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

19.2%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

18.9%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Rotherham United - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: Southampton will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (G) 21. Peltier L. 22. Odoffin H. 23. Morrison S. (C) 28. Revan S. 40. Kioso P. 16. Lindsay J. 27. Tiehi C. 8. Clucas S. 7. Cafu 10. Hugill J.	31. Bazunu G. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 21. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 3. Manning R. 16. Smallbone W. 4. Downes F. 17. Armstrong S. 9. Armstrong A. (C) 10. Adams C. 26. Fraser R.
Substitutes
30. Appiah A. 9. Eaves T. 24. Humphreys C. 29. Nombe S. 26. Phillips D. (G) 18. Rathbone O. 12. Rinomhota A. 38. Seriki F. 14. Wyke Ch.	7. Brooks D. 24. Charles S. 33. Dibling T. 23. Edozie S. 13. Lumley J. (G) 18. Mara S. 29. Meghoma J. 19. Rothwell J. 5. Stephens J.
Coaches
Richardson L.	Martin R.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Rotherham is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

S`hampton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rotherham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match S`hampton is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League Championship
20.01.24	Middlesbrough - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Rotherham United - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.01.24	Fulham - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.24	Blackburn Rovers - Rotherham United	2:2 ✺
29.12.23	Rotherham United - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TLLTT
- Southampton FC
English FA Cup
28.01.24	Watford - Southampton	1:1 ✺
English League Championship
20.01.24	Swansea City - Southampton	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Southampton - Walsall	4:0 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.24	Norwich City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.10.23	Southampton - Rotherham United	1:1

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