Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 12

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Referee: Ziyakov R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Rotor		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	2.21	3.07	3.72
	2.17	3.05	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.03)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
43.2%

Draw
30.9%

Alania Vladikavkaz
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

29.3%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

25.8%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Rotor - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Averkiev V. (G) 63. Ageev M. 31. Kasimov T. 24. Maltsev M. 9. Morozov V. 27. Pliev Z. 19. Plotnikov N. 28. Semenov A. 5. Shumskikh A. (C) 3. Shvetsov M. 18. Tyurin V.	1. Soldatenko R. (G) 9. Abdokov N. 5. Bagaev A. 19. Butaev A. 20. Kobesov D. 27. Makarov S. 22. Moskalenchik I. 76. Nafikov V. 3. Pliev K. 6. Tarba Z. 13. Zaseev A. (C)
Substitutes
13. Chagrov N. (G) 2. Dudkin K. 7. Kamlashev D. 44. Kukharchuk I. 23. Lavrishchev D. 95. Lutsev A. 12. Prishchepa D. 8. Pyatkin I. 10. Sokolov I. 97. Talikin D. 6. Zavezen Y.	11. Chochiev A. 37. Gagloev T. 12. Gubiev E. 58. Isik M. 10. Khadartsev B. 8. Khugaev A. 77. Kokoev D. 23. Natabashvili G. (G) 18. Toboev T. 15. Tsallagov I.
Coaches
Boyarintsev D.	Gogniev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Makarov S. ↓, Tsallagov I. ↑,
46', Zaseev A. ↓, Gubiev E. ↑,
54', Kobesov D. ↓, Khadartsev B. ↑,
62', Ageev M. ↓, Kukharchuk I. ↑,
67', Nafikov V. ↓, Khugaev A. ↑,
69', Kasimov T. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
69', Maltsev M. ↓, Sokolov I. ↑,
76', Shumskikh A. 🟨,
77', Plotnikov N. ↓, Pyatkin I. ↑,
77', Morozov V. ↓, Lavrishchev D. ↑,
81', Abdokov N. ↓, Chochiev A. ↑,
89', Semenov A. 🟨,
90+1', Butaev A. 🟨,
90+2', Prishchepa D. 🟨,
90+2', Bolotov E. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Rotor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alania is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rotor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rotor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Rotor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Cup
24.09.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rotor	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.24	Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Sochi - Rotor	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ural - Rotor	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	Rotor - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLTTT
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian Cup
26.09.24	Amkal Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - KAMAZ	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Sochi	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ural - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
27.09.23	Rotor - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0
Russian FNL
15.05.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Rotor	0:1
23.10.21	Rotor - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0
Russian Cup
21.08.19	Alania Vladikavkaz - Rotor	2:1

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