Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 8

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Yekaterinburg Arena (Yekaterinburg)

Referee: Sidenkov I. (Rus)


	Ural		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.69	5.63
	1.59	3.78	5.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	5.73 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural
58.2%

Draw
25.3%

Alania Vladikavkaz
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

25.2%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

24.1%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Ural - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Arapov D. (G) 55. Ayupov T. 2. Begic S. 10. Bicfalvi E. 5. Egorychev A. 6. Goglichidze L. 11. Ionov A. 15. Ishkov I. 46. Mamin A. 43. Margasov T. 75. Sungatulin F.	1. Soldatenko R. (G) 9. Abdokov N. 5. Bagaev A. 14. Chimezie W. 77. Kokoev D. 27. Makarov S. 22. Moskalenchik I. 76. Nafikov V. 3. Pliev K. 6. Tarba Z. 2. Tataev A.
Substitutes
70. Bardachev M. 22. Beveev M. 3. Bocherov V. 27. Chudin I. 4. Emerson 24. Filipenko E. 86. Kuznetsov I. 8. Miskic D. 18. Morozov N. 17. Sekulic M. 14. Zheleznov Y.	70. Daurov R. 37. Gagloev T. 12. Gubiev E. 10. Khadartsev B. 8. Khugaev A. 23. Natabashvili G. (G) 18. Toboev T. 15. Tsallagov I. 13. Zaseev A.
Coaches
Averyanov E.	Tazabaev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Ayupov T. ⚽,
36', Tataev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kokoev D. ↓, Gagloev T. ↑,
61', Chimezie W. ↓, Khugaev A. ↑,
61', Ishkov I. ↓, Mosin E. K. ↑,
67', Moskalenchik I. 🟨,
70', Ionov A. ↓, Zheleznov Y. ↑,
70', Bicfalvi E. ↓, Sekulic M. ↑,
77', Abdokov N. ↓, Toboev T. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Nafikov V. ⚽,
81', Pliev K. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Ayupov T. (Pen),
84', Moskalenchik I. ↓, Tsallagov I. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Sekulic M. ⚽,
90+5', Sekulic M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 12).

Recent matches Ural is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alania is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ural is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural
Russian FNL
24.08.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ural	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Ural - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Ufa - Ural	0:2 ✺
03.08.24	Ural - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ural	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWTL
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
24.08.24	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Arsenal Tula - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
28.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLWL

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