Match Info

FNL - Round 11

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)

Referee: Matveev Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Spartak Kostroma		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.45	5.13
	1.75	3.40	5.05
	1.69	3.54	5.15	Watch
	1.68	3.35	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	4.93 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
54%

Draw
27.1%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

28.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Spartak Kostroma - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Gaydash M. (G) 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 3. Bugriev S. (C) 2. Tarasov N. 7. Malyarov K. 18. Kamilov V. 17. Kaptilovich D. 21. Bugarin M. 22. Nemchenko A. 90. Kalmykov A. 10. Karaev D.	98. Ismagilov A. (G) 28. Platonov P. 22. Khomukha I. 6. Pechenkin N. 24. Kakhidze A. 7. Dzhamilov S. 85. Pyatkin I. 19. Sharifullin L. 38. Aleynikov V. 12. Mukba E. 14. Mashukov I. (C)
Substitutes
69. Chursin K. 8. Demchenko N. 11. Ghurtskaia D. 6. Mohammadi N. 96. Mokhammad A. 82. Nikiforenko O. 66. Nikiforov M. 13. Rubtsov I. 50. Shamov E. (G) 87. Spahic A.	11. Abdullaev S. 1. Golubev A. (G) 9. Kotik A. 5. Musalov M. 27. Nikishin K. 13. Puzanov S. 2. Sitdikov M. 44. Sukhoruchenko M. 96. Vasiljev N.
Coaches
Berezovsky R.	Evdokimov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Mashukov I. 🟨,
15', Mukba E. 🟨,
28', Tarasov N. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Malyarov K. ⚽,
45+1', Nemchenko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kamilov V. 🟨,
63', Kamilov V. ↓, Mohammadi N. ↑,
71', Bugriev S. ↓, Spahic A. ↑,
71', Karaev D. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
71', Mukba E. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
72', Dzhamilov S. ↓, Kotik A. ↑,
83', Zhilmostnykh D. 🟨,
85', Aleynikov V. ↓, Vasiljev N. ↑,
85', Sharifullin L. ↓, Sukhomlinov D. ↑,
90', Kalmykov A. ↓, Kirakosyan D. ↑,
90+1', Mashukov I. ↓, Nikishin K. ↑,
90+3', Khomukha I. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).

Spartak Kostroma is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neftekhimik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Spartak Kostroma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Spartak Kostroma is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spartak Kostroma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Spartak Kostroma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

S. Kostroma: 6.02% Neftekhimik: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Kostroma	12	7	3	2	16:10	6	24
14	Neftekhimik	12	4	0	8	7:15	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian Cup
08.09.26	Ryazan - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Rotor	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	3:0 ✺
17.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Ufa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLT
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Chertanovo - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ufa	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	Rotor - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
20.08.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
18.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Spartak Kostroma	3:1
03.08.25	Spartak Kostroma - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1

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