Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Rouen FC		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.65	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
	5	4	1.63
	4.82	3.93	1.68
	4.8	3.75	1.57
	5.1	3.92	1.67
	5.2	3.85	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (3.75)	3.86 ↑ (3)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rouen FC
18.7%

Draw
24.2%

Toulouse
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

27.6%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

25.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rouen FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rouen FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Rouen FC - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: Toulouse will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aggoune L. (G) 2. Bouzamoucha S. 4. Sanson V. 5. Bassin C. (C) 7. Sy L. 6. Benzia M. 8. Bezzekhami O. 3. Amede Kabongo R. 10. Benkaid H. 9. Loppy D. 11. Abdelmoula M.	1. Dominguez A. (G) 6. Kamanzi W. 5. Mawissa Elebi C. 2. Nicolaisen R. 3. Suazo G. 8. Sierro V. (C) 11. Casseres C. 4. Spierings S. 10. Cissoko I. 9. Dallinga T. 7. Gboho Y.
Substitutes
15. Allee Z. 19. Bensoula N. 13. Bernasque A. 14. Deschamps F. 20. Dia E. 16. Maraval A. (G) 12. Mion M. 17. Ouadah M. 18. Sahloune A.	18. Aradj Y. 12. Babicka S. 20. Edjouma N. 15. Gelabert Pina C. 17. Lahmadi N. 16. Restes G. (G) 14. Schmidt N. 13. Skytta N. 19. Wasbauer N.
Coaches
D'Ornano M.	Martinez C.

Preview

Rouen FC in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Toulouse is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Toulouse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Toulouse is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rouen FC
French Ligue 3
12.01.24	Rouen FC - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.24	Louhans-Cuiseaux - Rouen FC	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
15.12.23	Niort - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Pontivy - Rouen FC	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
01.12.23	Rouen FC - Cholet	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
14.01.24	Metz - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.24	Chambéry - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
French Super Cup
03.01.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.12.23	Toulouse - Monaco	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Toulouse - Rennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLT

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