Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 10

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	FSHF, Klani IM
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
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China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
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Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
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Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
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Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Toulouse		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.35
	2.14	3.55	3.42
	2.10	3.52	3.35	Watch
	2.25	3.59	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)	3.54 ↑ (3.48)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
44.5%

Draw
27%

Rennes
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.2%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

28.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.1%	8.9%

Toulouse - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 42 - 76.4%). Rennes will win (votes: 5 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 65.2% – 87.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Rennes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toulouse will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Rennes (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Restes G. (G) 3. McKenzie M. 4. Cresswell C. 2. Nicolaisen R. (C) 19. Sidibe D. 23. Casseres C. 17. Francis A. 24. Methalie D. 15. Donnum A. 10. Gboho Y. 9. Magri F.	30. Samba B. (G) 48. Ait Boudlal A. 97. Jacquet J. 3. Brassier L. 95. Frankowski P. 45. Camara M. 21. Rongier V. (C) 6. Cisse D. 11. Tamari M. 39. Meite M. 9. Lepaul E.
Substitutes
31. Edjouma N. 20. Emersonn 16. Haug K. (G) 11. Hidalgo S. 12. Kamanzi W. 35. Koumbassa S. 77. Sauer M. 7. Vignolo J. 45. Vossah A.	60. Belazzoug K. (G) 7. Embolo B. 4. Kamara G. 26. Merlin Q. 18. Nagida M. 71. Rosier L. 24. Rouault A. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G)
Coaches
Martinez C.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Ait Boudlal A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Tamari M. ⚽, Lepaul E. (A),
58', 1 - 2, Cresswell C. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
61', Sidibe D. ↓, Emersonn ↑,
61', Francis A. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
63', Tamari M. 🟨,
69', Meite M. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
71', Cisse D. ↓, Kamara G. ↑,
76', Samba B. 🟨,
78', Nicolaisen R. 🟨,
79', Frankowski P. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
80', Lepaul E. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
80', Casseres C. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
80', Magri F. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Donnum A. (Pen),
90+3', Donnum A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Toulouse could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Messali R. (Ankle Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Toulouse - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
25.10.25	Monaco - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Toulouse - Metz	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Lyon - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Toulouse - Nantes	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Auxerre - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTL
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
26.10.25	Rennes - Nice	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Rennes - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Le Havre - Rennes	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Rennes - Lens	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Nantes - Rennes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.05.25	Toulouse - Rennes	2:1
10.11.24	Rennes - Toulouse	0:2
13.04.24	Rennes - Toulouse	1:2
17.12.23	Toulouse - Rennes	0:0
12.02.23	Toulouse - Rennes	3:1
12.11.22	Rennes - Toulouse	2:1
29.02.20	Toulouse - Rennes	0:2

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