Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Italy	Sky Sport
Luxembourg	Club RTL
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Royal Antwerp		Porto

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.05
	3.6	3.4	2.05
	3.75	3.4	2.12	Watch
	3.82	3.49	2.08
	3.82	3.49	2.08
	3.75	3.5	1.95
	3.94	3.6	1.95
	3.75	3.45	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.42)	3.47 ↓ (3.51)	2.04 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royal Antwerp
25.5%

Draw
27.6%

Porto
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

27%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

27%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royal Antwerp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.6%	6.8%	90.6%

Royal Antwerp - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (106 of 117 users predict this - 90.6%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.31% – 95.89%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 34. Bataille J. 23. Alderweireld T. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 2. De Laet R. 8. Yusuf A. 11. Muja A. 48. Vermeeren A. 24. Ekkelenkamp J. 10. Balikwisha M. 18. Janssen V.	99. Costa D. (G) 23. Joao Mario 3. Pepe (C) 4. Carmo D. 18. Wendell 20. Franco A. 22. Varela A. 6. Eustaquio S. 13. Galeno 11. Pepê 9. Taremi M.
Substitutes
52. Corbanie K. 26. De Wolf O. (G) 19. Ejuke C. 3. Engels B. 9. Ilenikhena G. 7. Kerk G. 91. Lammens S. (G) 55. Valencia A. 33. Van Den Bosch Z. 5. Wijndal O.	28. Baro R. 70. Borges G. 2. Cardoso F. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 10. Conceicao F. 19. Danny Namaso 30. Evanilson 8. Grujic M. 29. Martinez T. 21. Navarro F. 16. Nico 15. Sanchez J.
Coaches
van Bommel M.	Conceicao S.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Porto will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Antwerp: Corbanie K. (Surgery) De Laet R. (Knee Injury) Engels B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ondrejka J. (Injury) Verhulst D. (Knee Injury) Vines S. (Knock)

There will not play in Porto: Marcano I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Antwerp: Keita M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Ivan Jaime (Muscle Injury) Pepe (Calf Injury) Wendell (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zaidu (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.10.23	Charleroi - Royal Antwerp	3:2 ✺
08.10.23	Royal Antwerp - Eupen	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	Royal Antwerp - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.09.23	KV Mechelen - Royal Antwerp	0:0 ✺
27.09.23	Royal Antwerp - Gent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLTT
- FC Porto
Taça de Portugal
20.10.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Porto	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.10.23	Porto - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	Porto - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
29.09.23	Benfica - Porto	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Porto - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLW

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