The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica 47.4%
Draw 29.9%
Porto 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
30.8%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
32%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
34.4%
15.6%
Benfica - Porto Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 16 - 50%). Porto will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 32.7% – 67.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Porto (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Benfica (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Porto (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 9 - 60%). Porto (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 17. Dedic A. 44. Araujo T. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 20. Rios R. 5. Barrenechea E. 25. Prestianni G. 27. Rafa Silva 21. Schjelderup A. 14. Pavlidis V.
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 52. Fernandes M. 8. Froholdt V. 22. Varela A. 10. Veiga G. 11. Pepê 27. Gul D. 77. Pietuszewski O.
Substitutes
72. Anisio 6. Bah A. 18. Barreiro L. 9. Ivanovic F. 11. Lukebakio D. 16. Manu 4. Silva A. 24. Soares S. (G) 10. Sudakov G.
14. Claudio Ramos (G) 42. Fofana S. 29. Moffi T. 86. Mora R. 74. Moura F. 13. Rosario P. 17. Sainz B. 3. Thiago Silva 7. William Gomes
Coaches
Mourinho J.
Farioli F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Froholdt V. ⚽,
26', Pepê 🟨,
35', Otamendi N. 🟨,
35', Veiga G. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Pietuszewski O. ⚽, Veiga G. (A),
45+5', Costa D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pepê ↓, William Gomes ↑,
46', Veiga G. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
58', Fernandes M. 🟨,
58', Fernandes M. ↓, Moura F. ↑,
64', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
65', Rafa Silva ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
66', Prestianni G. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Schjelderup A. ⚽,
75', Otamendi N. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
75', Barrenechea E. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
78', Gul D. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
79', Costa A. 🟨,
81', William Gomes 🟨,
83', Dedic A. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Barreiro L. ⚽, Ivanovic F. (A),
90', Otamendi N. 🟥,
90+1', Mourinho J. 🟥,
90+8', Silva A. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2.
Benfica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Porto is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Benfica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Benfica: Aursnes F.
(Injury)
Bruma
(Inactive)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Veloso J.
(Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sainz B.
(Personal Reasons)
Samu
(Knee Injury)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Benfica: Sudakov G.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Porto: Bednarek J.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
Africa
Albania
Andorra
Austria
Brazil
Bulgaria
Cyprus
France
Germany
Greece
Indonesia
Israel
Italy
Kazakhstan
Lithuania
Netherlands
North-macedonia
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Russia
Serbia
Slovakia
Switzerland
Turkey
Ukraine
Uruguay
Usa
World
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Trubin A. (G) 
Dedic A. 
Araujo T. 
Otamendi N. (C) 
Dahl S. 
Rios R. 
Schjelderup A. 
Pavlidis V. 
Bednarek J. 
Froholdt V. 
Veiga G. 
Pepê 
Gul D. 
Barreiro L. 
Ivanovic F. 
Lukebakio D. 
Fofana S. 
Moffi T. 
Rosario P. 
Farioli F. 
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