Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 8

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Aurora		Blooming

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.25
	1.87	3.9	3.25
	1.58	3.82	5.58	Watch
	1.89	3.72	3.33	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.05)	3.68 ↑ (3.14)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
50.2%

Draw
25.2%

Blooming
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.

Blooming has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Aurora - Blooming Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Akologo D. (G) 21. Ballivian R. 52. Sanchez H. 33. Fabinho 12. Torrico J. 20. Sanchez A. 5. Amarilla A. 6. Sejas C. 15. Viviani L. 23. Fernandez A. 8. Ramallo R. (C)	1. Uraezana B. (G) 20. Padilla C. 26. Romero C. 44. Enoumba M. 18. Gonzales J. 6. Spenhay R. 25. Abisab M. 10. Vadala G. 8. Villarroel M. (C) 27. Menacho C. 14. Justiniano E.
Substitutes
14. Aranibar B. 9. Blanco O. 27. Flores A. 35. Justiniano G. 55. Michel J. 69. Terrazas A. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 26. Torrico D. 10. Verdun J. 16. Vidaurre I. 29. Wesley	71. Almada G. (G) 24. Becerra M. A. 40. Cadore G. 32. Centella G. 38. Chavez L. 19. Eguez R. 39. Escalante B. 15. Gutierrez J. 37. Perez S. 16. Saucedo C. 5. Severiche S.
Coaches
Quiruchi D.	Soria M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Fabinho 🟥,
35', 1 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽, Sejas C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Padilla C. ↓, Centella G. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Villarroel M. (Pen),
71', Centella G. 🟨,
72', Viviani L. 🟨,
73', Sanchez A. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
73', Fernandez A. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
77', Justiniano E. ↓, Becerra M. A. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Sanchez H. (Own goal),
80', Amarilla A. 🟨,
85', Ballivian R. 🟨,
85', Villarroel M. 🟨,
89', Ballivian R. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
90', Enoumba M. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Vadala G. ⚽, Abisab M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aurora will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.09.25	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Aurora - Real Tomayapo	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Real Oruro - Aurora	5:3 ✺
13.09.25	Aurora - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWW
- Blooming Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.09.25	Blooming - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	0:3 ✺
24.09.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Blooming	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	GVCD San José - Blooming	1:4 ✺
15.09.25	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.25	Blooming - Oriente Petrolero	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
13.08.25	Aurora - Blooming	4:1
03.12.24	Blooming - Aurora	1:1
08.08.24	Aurora - Blooming	1:0
31.03.24	Aurora - Blooming	4:2
28.03.24	Blooming - Aurora	1:0
23.11.23	Aurora - Blooming	3:1
21.05.23	Blooming - Aurora	2:1

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