Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 32

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.58
	4.15	4.39	1.64
	4.5	4.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.66)	4.2 ↑ (3.8)	1.61 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
21.3%

Draw
21.8%

Coalville Town
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

23.9%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

23.8%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coalville Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coalville Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Hednesford Town - Coalville Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hednesford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Coalville will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 0.

Hednesford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coalville is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hednesford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Coalville is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
04.02.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Hednesford Town	3:1 ✺
28.01.23	Hednesford Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Tamworth - Hednesford Town	9:1 ✺
14.01.23	Hednesford Town - St Ives Town	2:2 ✺
07.01.23	Bedford Town - Hednesford Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLTW
- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
04.02.23	Coalville Town - Rushden & Diamonds	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.23	Banbury United - Coalville Town	3:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
28.01.23	Ilkeston - Coalville Town	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	1:0 ✺
02.01.23	Basford United - Coalville Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	2:0
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	3:2
02.04.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	0:0
16.11.21	Hednesford Town - Coalville Town	0:2
06.10.20	Hednesford Town - Coalville Town	0:3
11.01.20	Hednesford Town - Coalville Town	0:1
English FA Trophy
23.11.19	Hednesford Town - Coalville Town	2:1

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