Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday


	Hednesford Town		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.15
	2.5	3.6	2.18
	2.2	3.7	2.47
	2.8	3.99	2.16
	2.38	3.6	2.45
	2.82	3.66	2.18
	2.9	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.7)	3.7 ↑ (3.55)	2.23 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
34.8%

Draw
24.5%

Mickleover Sports
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.3%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

24.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Mickleover Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Hednesford Town - Mickleover Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 1.

Hednesford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mickleover is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hednesford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hednesford have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.02.23	Hednesford Town - Coalville Town	1:3 ✺
04.02.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Hednesford Town	3:1 ✺
28.01.23	Hednesford Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Tamworth - Hednesford Town	9:1 ✺
14.01.23	Hednesford Town - St Ives Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT
- Mickleover Sports
English Southern League Central Division
11.02.23	Mickleover Sports - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Tamworth - Mickleover Sports	3:1 ✺
28.01.23	Mickleover Sports - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Mickleover Sports - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
10.01.23	Royston Town - Mickleover Sports	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.08.22	Mickleover Sports - Hednesford Town	1:1
English NPL Premier Division
24.11.18	Hednesford Town - Mickleover Sports	1:1
11.09.18	Mickleover Sports - Hednesford Town	1:0
21.04.18	Hednesford Town - Mickleover Sports	1:3
English FA Trophy
28.10.17	Hednesford Town - Mickleover Sports	1:0
English NPL Premier Division
23.09.17	Mickleover Sports - Hednesford Town	5:0
01.04.17	Mickleover Sports - Hednesford Town	0:0

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