Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 3

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Ak Bars Arena (Kazan)

Referee: Kukuyan P. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Kazakhstan	Q Sport International
Russia	Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2


	Rubin Kazan		Khimki

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.81	4.59
	1.82	3.87	4.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.95)	3.84 ↑ (3.42)	4.7 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Kazan
53.9%

Draw
25.4%

Khimki
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Rubin Kazan - Khimki Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Khimki will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rubin: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Staver E. (G) 5. Ashurmatov R. 10. Daku M. 27. Gritsaenko A. 6. Iwu U. 7. Jukic A. 70. Kabutov D. 51. Rozhkov I. 30. Vada V. 15. Vujacic I. 21. Zotov A.	96. Obukhov I. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 72. Fernandez D. 25. Filin A. 27. Gogoua A. 80. Khosonov K. 11. Mirzov R. 99. Orinho 9. Rudenko A. 32. Vera L. 91. Zabolotnyi A.
Substitutes
18. Apshatsev M. 24. Cumic N. 39. Ezhov I. (G) 19. Ivanov O. 8. Jocic B. 77. Kuznetsov D. 9. Lomovitskiy A. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 11. Taheri K. 2. Teslenko E. 98. Vasiliev N.	10. Abdullahi S. 18. Bakaev Z. 17. Berkovskiy I. 24. Farina E. 88. Glushakov D. 2. Golubovic P. 4. Isaenko O. 87. Kokarev N. (G) 97. Magomedov B. 7. Sadygov I. 5. Stepanov D. 23. Volkov Z.
Coaches
Rakhimov R.	Artiga F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Mirzov R. 🟨,
33', Andjelkovic N. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Daku M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Andjelkovic N. ↓, Farina E. ↑,
46', Mirzov R. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Khosonov K. ⚽, Zabolotnyi A. (A),
57', Vada V. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Jukic A. ⚽, Daku M. (A),
67', 2 - 2, Farina E. ⚽,
70', Farina E. 🟨,
73', Zotov A. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
73', Kabutov D. ↓, Cumic N. ↑,
74', Rudenko A. ↓, Bakaev Z. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Vera L. (Pen),
86', Fernandez D. ↓, Golubovic P. ↑,
89', Vera L. ↓, Glushakov D. ↑,
90+2', Golubovic P. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rubin won 1.

Rubin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Khimki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Khimki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Khimki have a series of home games.

Rubin will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rubin: Fameyeh J. (Injury) Nizhegorodov K. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rubin won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Rubin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Kazan
Russian Cup
30.07.24	Rubin Kazan - Akron Tolyatti	4:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.07.24	Rubin Kazan - Zenit	0:4 ✺
22.07.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Rubin Kazan	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan	3:4 ✺
07.07.24	Rubin Kazan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWW
- FC Khimki
Russian Cup
31.07.24	Khimki - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.07.24	Khimki - Spartak Moscow	1:3 ✺
21.07.24	Khimki - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Khimki - Krylya Sovetov	2:2 ✺
09.07.24	Khimki - OFK Beograd	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
01.04.22	Rubin Kazan - Khimki	2:3
Club Friendly
05.02.22	Khimki - Rubin Kazan	0:0
Russian Premier League
22.08.21	Khimki - Rubin Kazan	1:1
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Rubin Kazan - Khimki	1:0
Russian Premier League
19.03.21	Rubin Kazan - Khimki	1:3
Club Friendly
02.02.21	Rubin Kazan - Khimki	2:2
Russian Premier League
08.11.20	Khimki - Rubin Kazan	2:0

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