Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 9

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Moskalev V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Kazakhstan	Q Sport International
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Khimki		Orenburg

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.84	3.17
	2.22	3.95	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.6	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.34)	3.8 ↑ (3.75)	3.11 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimki
43.4%

Draw
25.5%

Orenburg
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.3%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

25.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Khimki - Orenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Kokarev N. (G) 18. Bakaev Z. 77. Corredera A. 72. Fernandez D. 25. Filin A. 27. Gogoua A. 80. Khosonov K. 11. Mirzov R. 13. Terekhov S. 32. Vera L. 91. Zabolotnyi A.	1. Moskvichev B. (G) 8. Basic I. 6. Ghorbani M. 18. Kovalenko A. 12. Malykh A. 9. Mansilla B. 80. Marin J. 22. Perez M. 87. Prokhin D. 10. Saharkhizan S. 81. Sidorov M.
Substitutes
10. Abdullahi S. 26. Andjelkovic N. 14. Dzhikiya G. 55. Kaplenko K. 15. Luna D. 97. Magomedov B. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 99. Orinho 8. Panchenko K. 9. Rudenko A. 7. Sadygov I. 5. Stepanov D.	96. Baranovsky A. 19. Cuero Palacio J. R. 7. Gurluk E. 35. Karatas K. 38. Kasimov A. 13. Kenyaykin A. (G) 4. Khotulev D. 24. Muro T. 11. Oganesyan S. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 16. Thompson J. 31. Zotov G.
Coaches
Artiga F.	Deogracia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Gogoua A. 🟥,
30', Bakaev Z. ↓, Andjelkovic N. ↑,
40', Mirzov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mirzov R. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
64', Marin J. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
78', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
81', Corredera A. ↓, Kaplenko K. ↑,
82', Prokhin D. 🟨,
87', Basic I. ↓, Muro T. ↑,
87', Kovalenko A. ↓, Rybchinskiy D. ↑,
87', Terekhov S. 🟨,
89', Vera L. ↓, Panchenko K. ↑,
90+3', Mansilla B. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khimki won 3.

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Khimki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Khimki: Farina E. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Orenburg: Martynov T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Orenburg: Florentin G. (Injury) Sysuev N. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Khimki won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Khimki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Khimki
Russian Cup
19.09.24	Khimki - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:5 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.09.24	Akron Tolyatti - Khimki	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Khimki - CSKA Moscow	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
28.08.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Khimki	4:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
24.08.24	Akhmat Grozny - Khimki	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLT
- FC Orenburg
Russian Cup
18.09.24	Rostov - Orenburg	3:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.09.24	Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:4 ✺
01.09.24	Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
28.08.24	Orenburg - Rostov	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
24.08.24	Fakel - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
31.07.24	Khimki - Orenburg	1:0
Club Friendly
23.02.23	Khimki - Orenburg	2:5
Russian Premier League
04.11.22	Khimki - Orenburg	2:0
03.09.22	Orenburg - Khimki	3:1
Russian Cup
31.10.19	Orenburg - Khimki	1:2
Russian FNL
07.04.18	Khimki - Orenburg	0:1
10.09.17	Orenburg - Khimki	5:2

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