Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: La Arboleda (Asunción)

Referee: Romero B. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Rubio Ñu		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.10	2.95	2.15
	3.2	3	2.2	Watch
	3.61	3.08	2.29
	3.14	3.17	2.33	Watch
	3.4	3	2.2
	3.37	3.04	2.25	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.65)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	2.22 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubio Ñu
28.3%

Draw
30.3%

Nacional Asuncion
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

29%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Rubio Ñu - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Fragueda F. (G) 13. Cabanas V. 31. Blasi B. 3. Vallejos J. 16. Gonzalez J. 36. Gimenez C. 2. Ferreira R. 15. Nunez C. 18. Acosta M. 40. Perez E. 10. Mendieta W. (C)	30. Rojas S. (G) 21. Feliu J. 26. Coronel M. 4. Gutierrez T. 29. Vargas S. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. 33. Gaona Lugo O. (C) 8. Jara F. 13. Meza L. 10. Colman Escobar D. J. 9. Benitez H. A.
Substitutes
7. Alfonso E. 29. Alfonso O. 5. Alvarez Benitez P. 26. Fretes S. 23. Leiva T. 32. Maldonado L. (G) 20. Paez A. 17. Paredes K. 14. Ramos M. 8. Rojas R. 11. Roldan M. 9. Ruiz Diaz R.	7. Bailone I. 5. Benitez G. 23. Espinola C. 22. Melgarejo R. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 36. Pelozo F. 27. Prieto R. 25. Ramirez Antunez R. C. 28. Samudio A. 17. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 18. Valdez I. 38. Vega T.
Coaches
Torrente J.	Bernay V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Feliu J. ↓, Espinola C. ↑,
8', Vallejos J. 🟨,
29', Colman Escobar D. J. 🟨,
35', Coronel M. 🟨,
41', Acosta M. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gutierrez T. ↓, Melgarejo R. ↑,
63', Ferreira R. ↓, Leiva T. ↑,
63', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
63', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
74', Jara F. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Valdez I. ⚽, Benitez H. A. (A),
79', Perez E. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
79', Gonzalez J. ↓, Paredes K. ↑,
79', Colman Escobar D. J. ↓, Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↑,
84', Nunez C. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
84', Mendieta W. ↓, Alfonso E. ↑,
88', Prieto R. 🟨,
90+1', Leiva T. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 0.

Rubio Ñu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nacional is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubio Ñu won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nacional Asuncion	13	6	5	2	20:8	12	23
10	Rubio Nu	13	3	3	7	15:24	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	4:2 ✺
01.09.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	2:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
25.08.26	General Caballero JLM - Rubio Ñu	2:3 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.08.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWT
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
18.08.26	Benjamín Aceval - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
15.05.26	Rubio Ñu - Nacional Asuncion	1:1
15.03.26	Nacional Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:0
21.10.17	Nacional Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:1
11.08.17	Rubio Ñu - Nacional Asuncion	0:1
28.04.17	Rubio Ñu - Nacional Asuncion	1:2
19.02.17	Nacional Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	0:3
03.12.16	Nacional Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	3:1

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