Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 23

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Ruch Chorzów		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.75
	2.45	3.25	2.6
	2.55	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.54	3.21	2.91
	2.6	3.23	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3	2.62
	2.55	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.7)	3.2 (3.2)	2.72 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
36.7%

Draw
29.1%

Arka Gdynia
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Ruch Chorzów - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Bielecki J. (G) 23. Mezghrani M. 15. Konczkowski M. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 38. Karasinski S. 16. Tsykalo Y. 7. Kozak M. 11. Myszor J. 27. Szwoch M. 24. Baranski B. 86. Novothny S.	77. Weglarz D. (G) 2. Navarro M. 29. Marcjanik M. 18. Celestine J. 94. Gojny D. (C) 9. Gaprindashvili T. 80. Petrovic Z. 39. Kocaba F. 14. Vitalucci H. 27. Oliveira J. 7. Sobczak S.
Substitutes
80. Adkonis J. 28. Borowski F. 17. Lukic A. 13. Moneta L. 21. Sadlok M. 30. Sobeczko J. 10. Starzynski F. 1. Szymanski J. (G) 25. Ventura D.	13. Azatsky O. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 35. Jakubczyk K. 11. Kocyla D. 99. Majchrzak J. 16. Ratajczyk A. 19. Rzuchowski M. 8. Sidibe A. 32. Stolc P.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Szwarga D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Konczkowski M. 🟨,
19', Karasinski S. 🟨,
32', Marcjanik M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Myszor J. ↓, Ventura D. ↑,
46', Konczkowski M. ↓, Lukic A. ↑,
61', Vitalucci H. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
71', Oliveira J. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
75', Sidibe A. 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, Marcjanik M. ⚽,
79', Baranski B. ↓, Moneta L. ↑,
83', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Ratajczyk A. ↑,
83', Sobczak S. ↓, Majchrzak J. ↑,
88', Petrovic Z. (Pen),
90+1', Karasinski S. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
90+1', Szwoch M. ↓, Starzynski F. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 1.

Recent matches Ruch Chorzów is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruch Chorzów could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Arka have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
03.03.25	Ruch Chorzów - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
25.02.25	Ruch Chorzów - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.02.25	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Kraków	0:5 ✺
17.02.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Ruch Chorzów	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLTW
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
28.02.25	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Kraków	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Znicz Pruszków - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Arka Gdynia - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.25	Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Arka Gdynia - Olimpia Grudziądz	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
22.08.24	Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
13.05.23	Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów	0:2
16.10.22	Ruch Chorzów - Arka Gdynia	2:4
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.05.17	Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
05.12.16	Ruch Chorzów - Arka Gdynia	1:2
29.07.16	Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów	3:0

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