Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	5
	1.61	3.9	4.6
	1.63	4	5	Watch
	1.62	4	5.47
	1.66	3.79	5.03	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.75
	1.61	3.92	4.84	Watch
	1.63	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.9 ↓ (4.03)	4.96 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
57.5%

Draw
23.8%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

22.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Kotwica Kołobrzeg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Ruch Chorzów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Kotwica Kołobrzeg will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Turk M. (G) 38. Karasinski S. 15. Konczkowski M. 17. Lukic A. 23. Mezghrani M. 86. Novothny S. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 95. Szczepan D. 27. Szwoch M. 20. Szymanski S. 25. Ventura D.	88. Koziol M. (G) 10. Cywinski M. 39. Jonathan Junior 7. Kosakiewicz L. 21. Kozajda M. 13. Kurowski M. 24. Oliveira F. 80. Petrovic Z. 32. Rajsel N. 57. Segbe Azankpo D. 27. Welna T.
Substitutes
24. Baranski B. 28. Borowski F. 26. Gora L. 7. Kozak M. 19. Lipinski K. 13. Moneta L. 11. Myszor J. 14. Nono 1. Szymanski J. (G)	77. Bieganski A. 29. Bykowski M. 6. Kort K. 9. Kozlowski F. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 8. Lucas Ramos 66. Witasik P. 17. Zietek L.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Tarasiewicz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Kurowski M. ↓, Bykowski M. ↑,
34', Mezghrani M. 🟨,
37', Szwoch M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cywinski M. ↓, Lucas Ramos ↑,
47', Szczepan D. 🟨,
61', Kozajda M. 🟨,
61', Mezghrani M. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
68', Szczepan D. ↓, Nono ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Welna T. (Own goal),
77', Kozak M. 🟨,
83', Ventura D. 🟨,
86', Szwoch M. ↓, Gora L. ↑,
86', Novothny S. ↓, Myszor J. ↑,
86', Karasinski S. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
88', Rajsel N. ↓, Kozlowski F. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Ruch Chorzów have a series of guest games.

In this match Ruch Chorzów is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
29.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
16.09.24	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW
- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
29.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Arka Gdynia - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	5:0 ✺
01.09.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTLT

Upcoming Matches