Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Ukraina Stadium (Lviv)

Referee: Raida M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV


	Rukh Lviv		Poltava

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.25	5
	2.12	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3.11	3.46
	2.24	3.03	3.42	Watch
	1.75	3.1	5
	2.18	3.12	3.46	Watch
	1.79	3.26	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.65)	3.14 ↓ (3.43)	4.14 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rukh Lviv
47.1%

Draw
30.1%

Poltava
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

27.5%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rukh Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rukh Lviv's form might have worsened.

Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poltava's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Rukh Lviv - Poltava Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rukh will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Poltava will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rukh: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rukh (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Poltava (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Poltava (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Poltava (2.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Rukh (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Poltava (votes: 10 - 76.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gereta Y. (G) 93. Roman V. 92. Slyubyk B. 4. Kholod V. 73. Lyakh R. 15. Pidgurskyi D. (C) 75. Kitela A. 19. Pastukh Y. 10. Prytula O. 77. Almazbekov B. 99. Faal B.	13. Voskonyan V. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. 33. Veremiyenko O. 20. Misyura Y. 2. Kononov M. 8. Odaryuk V. 99. Khakhlyov O. 44. Plakhtyr D. 7. Galenkov D. 14. Marusych M. 88. Vivdych O.
Substitutes
56. Boyko M. 20. Dzyurynets O. 70. Kasarda N. 7. Klayver 28. Klymenko Y. (G) 47. Kvas K. 25. Levytskyi B. 11. Runich V. 65. Sebro D. 17. Slyusar D. 76. Tovarnytskyi O. 79. Yasinsky V.	1. Minchev M. (G) 11. Onishchenko A. 39. Opanasenko Y. 5. Pidlepych V. 12. Savenkov A. 24. Shapovalov S. 10. Streltsov Y. 96. Yermolov D. (G)
Coaches
Fedyk I.	Matviychenko P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Misyura Y. (Own goal),
17', 1 - 1, Marusych M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Veremiyenko O. 🟨,
54', Marusych M. ↓, Shapovalov S. ↑,
63', Kitela A. ↓, Klayver ↑,
64', Shapovalov S. 🟨,
70', Shapovalov S. 🟨,
73', Khakhlyov O. ↓, Opanasenko Y. ↑,
73', Vivdych O. ↓, Streltsov Y. ↑,
75', Almazbekov B. ↓, Runich V. ↑,
85', Odaryuk V. ↓, Savenkov A. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Roman V. ⚽, Slyubyk B. (A),

Preview

In this match, Rukh is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rukh Lviv
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Stal Rzeszów - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
10.07.25	Rukh Lviv - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:1 ✺
09.07.25	Rukh Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
24.05.25	Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWTL
- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.05.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Poltava	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Poltava - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Poltava	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Poltava - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW

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