Match Info

J3 League - Round 32

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium (Okinawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ryūkyū		Kochi United

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.62	Watch
	2.63	3.35	2.7
	3.15	3.13	2.29	Watch
	2.33	3.26	2.68	Watch
	2.1	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.02)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.71 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
37%

Draw
28.8%

Kochi United
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryūkyū's form might have worsened.

Kochi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kochi United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryūkyū, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kochi United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Ryūkyū - Kochi United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ryūkyū will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kochi United will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ryūkyū: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sato H. (G) 3. Kikuchi S. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 11. Ishiura T. 18. Hiramatsu S. 20. Nagai S. 23. Sota K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 9. Asakawa H.	21. Osugi S. (G) 2. Yoshida T. 4. Kobayashi D. 72. Fukumiya K. 38. Suzuki S. 8. Takano Y. 88. Kudo M. 16. Kozuki S. 26. Suto N. 15. Kobayashi R. 18. Toya T.
Substitutes
17. Einaga T. 39. Ihara A. 13. Iwamoto S. 5. Kamiya K. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 55. Koki Y. 7. Motegi S. 89. Takagi D. 47. Wade M.	25. Imai N. 39. Joppu S. 7. Kanehara A. 66. Miyoshi R. 19. Mizuno H. 3. Nakata E. 41. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 20. Sugiyama R. 29. Uchida Y.
Coaches
Hirakawa T.	Shiraishi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Asakawa H. ⚽, Nagai S. (A),
45+1', Kobayashi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 0, Sota K. ⚽, Ishiura T. (A),
58', Kobayashi R. ↓, Sugiyama R. ↑,
62', Nagai S. ↓, Motegi S. ↑,
64', Toya T. ↓, Uchida Y. ↑,
72', Kikuchi S. ↓, Kamiya K. ↑,
72', Asakawa H. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
78', Fujiharu H. ↓, Wade M. ↑,
78', Suto N. ↓, Miyoshi R. ↑,
78', Takano Y. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
79', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Ihara A. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Miyoshi R. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 16)

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Kochi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ryūkyū won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
10.10.25	Osaka - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ryūkyū - Nara Club	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ryūkyū	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Tochigi - Ryūkyū	4:1 ✺
15.09.25	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Kochi United
Japan J3 League
12.10.25	Kochi United - Gifu	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Kochi United - Azul Claro Numazu	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kochi United	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Tochigi City - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Kochi United - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
30.03.25	Kochi United - Ryūkyū	1:1

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