Match Info

J3 League - Round 30

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium (Kochi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kochi United		Azul Claro Numazu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.25	3
	2.04	3.45	3.65
	1.89	3.39	3.99	Watch
	2.11	3.28	3.14	Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.8)	3.32 ↓ (3.53)	3.34 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kochi United
44.7%

Draw
27.7%

Azul Claro Numazu
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

25.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kochi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kochi United's form might have worsened.

Azul Claro Numazu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kochi United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Kochi United - Azul Claro Numazu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Osugi S. (G) 2. Yoshida T. 4. Kobayashi D. 72. Fukumiya K. 16. Kozuki S. 88. Kudo M. 26. Suto N. 38. Suzuki S. 8. Takano Y. 19. Mizuno H. 39. Joppu S.	30. Gueguim G. (G) 5. Shinozaki T. 34. Miyazaki K. 7. Numata K. 10. Sato N. 8. Suzuki K. 77. Martinez E. 2. Miyawaki S. 35. Mukai H. 11. Mori Y. 23. Shirawachi K.
Substitutes
25. Imai N. 7. Kanehara A. 15. Kobayashi R. 1. Kurokawa R. (G) 66. Miyoshi R. 3. Nakata E. 10. Sasaki T. 20. Sugiyama R. 18. Toya T.	28. Inoue K. 3. Lucas Sena 21. Maeda H. (G) 16. Mihara S. 19. Saito M. 18. Sugai T. 9. Suzuki W. I. 14. Tokunaga K. 24. Yanagimachi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Suzuki K. ↓, Tokunaga K. ↑,
21', 0 - 1, Martinez E. ⚽, Mukai H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mukai H. ↓, Yanagimachi K. ↑,
53', Shirawachi K. 🟨,
62', Martinez E. 🟨,
63', Mizuno H. ↓, Sugiyama R. ↑,
63', Joppu S. ↓, Toya T. ↑,
66', Numata K. 🟨,
71', Mori Y. ↓, Sugai T. ↑,
71', Takano Y. ↓, Miyoshi R. ↑,
76', Fukumiya K. ↓, Imai N. ↑,
76', Yoshida T. ↓, Nakata E. ↑,
80', Miyazaki K. 🟨,
82', Martinez E. ↓, Mihara S. ↑,
82', Sato N. ↓, Suzuki W. I. ↑,
83', Mihara S. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Kochi United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kochi United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kochi United
Japan J3 League
27.09.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kochi United	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Tochigi City - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Kochi United - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Kagoshima United - Kochi United	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kochi United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
27.09.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Gifu	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Tochigi City	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
05.07.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Kochi United	4:0

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