Match Info

J3 League - Round 28

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi City		Kochi United

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.25	5.35
	1.52	4.3	5.73
	1.69	3.79	4.56	Watch
	1.45	4.2	5.79	Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	4.13 ↓ (4.18)	5.37 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
60.5%

Draw
22.3%

Kochi United
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

20.6%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kochi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tochigi City - Kochi United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tochigi City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Tochigi City (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tochigi City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tochigi City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Aizawa P. (G) 5. Okui R. 42. Jonjic M. 28. Konishi K. 15. Sato Y. 10. Okaniwa Y. 16. Kato J. 8. Mori T. 39. Vasquez B. 90. Utaka P. 77. Tanaka P. J.	21. Osugi S. (G) 4. Kobayashi D. 72. Fukumiya K. 38. Suzuki S. 2. Yoshida T. 37. Fukagawa D. 16. Kozuki S. 10. Sasaki T. 8. Takano Y. 29. Uchida Y. 20. Sugiyama R.
Substitutes
1. Harada Y. (G) 99. Hiraoka M. 33. Inui T. 13. Oshima T. 14. Sekino G. 22. Suzuki H. 40. Suzuki K. 9. Tokura K. 23. Yoshida A.	25. Imai N. 15. Kobayashi R. 1. Kurokawa R. (G) 66. Miyoshi R. 19. Mizuno H. 3. Nakata E. 9. Shintani M. 26. Suto N. 18. Toya T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Vasquez B. ⚽, Mori T. (A),
38', Kozuki S. 🟨,
44', Takano Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fukumiya K. 🟨,
48', 2 - 0, Okaniwa Y. ⚽, Tanaka P. J. (A),
59', Aizawa P. 🟨,
62', Uchida Y. ↓, Shintani M. ↑,
62', Sugiyama R. ↓, Toya T. ↑,
75', Kato Jo ↓, Sekino G. ↑,
75', Yoshida T. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
75', Sasaki T. ↓, Kobayashi R. ↑,
86', Sato Y. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
87', Okui R. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
87', Takano Y. ↓, Miyoshi R. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Vasquez B. ⚽,
90+4', Tanaka P. J. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
90+4', Mori T. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

In recent matches, Tochigi City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kochi United is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tochigi City is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tochigi City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
15.09.25	Osaka - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Tochigi City	4:5 ✺
23.08.25	Tochigi City - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Fukushima United - Tochigi City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLT
- Kochi United
Japan J3 League
14.09.25	Kochi United - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Kagoshima United - Kochi United	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kochi United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Nara Club - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Gainare Tottori - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
13.04.25	Kochi United - Tochigi City	0:5

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