Match Info

J3 League - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium (Okinawa) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	17:00	DAZN Japan


	Ryūkyū		Zweigen Kanazawa

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.30	2.15
	2.70	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.60	2.23
	2.84	3.55	2.3	Watch
	2.90	3.45	2.17
	2.98	3.52	2.23	Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
31.9%

Draw
26.6%

Zweigen Kanazawa
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27.6%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

27.2%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ryūkyū will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kanazawa will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato H. (G) 14. Suzuki J. 27. Funabashi Y. 4. Fujiharu H. 24. Kawaguchi N. 32. Takayanagi F. 13. Iwamoto S. 17. Kato Y. 16. Ihori K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 19. Teruuchi T.	31. Ueda I. (G) 39. Shoji H. 2. Yamamoto N. 20. Nagakura H. 71. Sakurai F. 15. Nishiya Y. 40. Kawakami R. 14. Shinomiya Y. 41. Shimada S. 7. Tosa R. 9. Buwanika K.
Substitutes
9. Asakawa H. 35. Chiba K. 8. Horiuchi H. 11. Ishiura T. 22. Kamiya K. 55. Koki Y. 33. Miyamoto R. (G) 23. Sota K. 18. Ueno Y.	50. Goto D. (G) 3. Hatao H. 29. Miyazaki K. 26. Murata J. 10. Patric 23. Sakakibara K. 13. Shirawachi K. 28. Suzuki H. 19. Terasaka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Ihori K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Teruuchi T. ↓, Ueno Y. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Buwanika K. ⚽, Shinomiya Y. (A),
56', Tosa R. ↓, Shirawachi K. ↑,
56', Sakurai F. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
60', Kawaguchi N. ↓, Sota K. ↑,
60', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Ishiura T. ↑,
61', Shoji H. ↓, Hatao H. ↑,
75', Ihori K. ↓, Koki Y. ↑,
77', Shimada S. ↓, Sakakibara K. ↑,
77', Buwanika K. ↓, Patric ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Sakakibara K. ⚽, Shinomiya Y. (A),
84', Fujiharu H. ↓, Kamiya K. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 4.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Kanazawa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Ryūkyū has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:15 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ryūkyū against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ryukyu	13	6	2	5	16:15	1	20
11	Kanazawa	12	4	2	6	18:18	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Ryūkyū - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.59%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Zweigen Kanazawa - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.83%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Ryūkyū - Ehime	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Reilac Shiga - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ryūkyū - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kagoshima United - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWL
- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gainare Tottori	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Kochi United - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Gifu - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
15.09.25	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0
01.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ryūkyū	1:2
24.08.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ryūkyū	1:2
30.06.24	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2
Japan J2 League
09.10.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ryūkyū	1:2
27.04.22	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1
07.11.21	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1

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