Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Sámano		Guarnizo

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.00	2.65
	2.30	3.25	2.45
	2.43	3.29	2.66
	2.4	3.32	2.7	Watch
	2.40	3.25	2.60
	2.39	3.38	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.13)	3.25 (3.25)	2.65 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
37.9%

Draw
27.9%

Guarnizo
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.9%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
57', 3 - 0, ⚽,
79', 4 - 0, ⚽,
83', (Penalty Awarded),
84', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sámano won 2.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Sámano has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sámano against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	UD Samano	5	2	2	1	12:6	6	8
13	Guarnizo	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
05.09.26	Sámano - Barquereño	2:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.05.26	Sámano - Bergantiños	0:5 ✺
26.04.26	Marino de Luanco - Sámano	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sámano - Numancia	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Langreo - Sámano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
24.05.26	Tropezón - Guarnizo	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Guarnizo - Tropezón	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Bezana - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Guarnizo - Noja	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Castro - Guarnizo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
23.11.24	Guarnizo - Sámano	1:2
17.02.24	Sámano - Guarnizo	1:0
30.09.23	Guarnizo - Sámano	1:0
15.04.23	Sámano - Guarnizo	2:2
17.12.22	Guarnizo - Sámano	1:1
30.04.22	Sámano - Guarnizo	1:0
09.01.22	Guarnizo - Sámano	0:0

Sámano - Guarnizo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide