Match Info

Paulista - Round 3

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	HBO Max


	São Bernardo		EC Noroeste

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	5	Watch
	1.72	3.35	4.95	Watch
	1.71	3.41	5.41	Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.8
	1.71	3.13	5.15	Watch
	1.73	3.25	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.69)	3.26 ↓ (3.34)	5.18 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
53.8%

Draw
28.4%

EC Noroeste
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

27.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

São Bernardo - EC Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 21. Hugo Sanches (C) 3. Helder Maciel 25. Gonzaga W. 6. Para 28. Joao Paulo 8. Foguinho 17. Romisson 27. Echapora 9. Felipe Garcia 31. Victor Andrade	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 44. Maycon 5. Pedro Carrerette 3. Carlinhos (C) 2. Jhonny 8. Leo Sena 70. Cristiano 12. Sanchez 7. Pedro Felipe 10. Thiago Lopes 9. Carlao
Substitutes
97. Augusto 10. Fabricio Daniel 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 30. Junior Urso 77. Marcao Silva 33. Mario Sergio 5. Matheus Salustiano 19. Neto Costa 4. Pablo 29. Pedrinho 11. Pedro Vitor 2. Rodrigo Ferreira	88. Denner 27. Diego Mathias 23. Igor 94. Jeferson Romario (G) 30. Leocovick 19. Leo Tocantins 4. Lucas Cunha 11. Marlyson 18. Rafael Silva 22. Renan Araujo 33. Ronaldo Alves 20. Wesley Santos
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Moises Egert

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Foguinho 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Joao Paulo ⚽, Echapora (A),
16', Para 🟨,
33', Carlao 🟨,
38', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Carlinhos 🟨,
53', Thiago Lopes ↓, Marlyson ↑,
53', Pedro Felipe ↓, Diego Mathias ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Carlao (Penalty Awarded),
59', Foguinho ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
59', Victor Andrade ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
60', Helder Maciel 🟨,
62', Echapora ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
77', Sanchez ↓, Leocovick ↑,
78', Felipe Garcia ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
78', Joao Paulo ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
82', Cristiano ↓, Lucas Cunha ↑,
82', Leo Sena ↓, Denner ↑,

Preview

São Bernardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, São Bernardo is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Noroeste: PH (Knee Injury) Robertinho (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.01.26	São Paulo - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	São Bernardo - Capivariano	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Londrina - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	São Bernardo - Caxias	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	São Bernardo - Floresta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTWL
- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.01.26	Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	EC Noroeste - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
29.08.25	União São João - EC Noroeste	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	EC Noroeste - União São João	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	EC Noroeste - Atlético Monte Azul	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.02.25	EC Noroeste - São Bernardo	2:3

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