Match Info

Paulista - Round 2

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Botafogo SP		EC Noroeste

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4.75	Watch
	1.98	2.92	4.25
	1.29	4.68	12.12	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4
	1.91	2.86	4.43	Watch
	1.96	2.75	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	3.17 ↓ (3.24)	5.81 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
52.8%

Draw
30.6%

EC Noroeste
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.5%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste Predictions

Users Predictions: Botafogo SP will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botafogo SP will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Jonathan 3. Ericson (C) 4. Vilar 30. Henrique Teles 5. Maciel L. 8. Everton Morelli 11. Jefferson Nem 10. Rafael Gava 29. Thalles 9. Leo Gamalho	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Jhonny 44. Maycon 5. Pedro Carrerette 3. Carlinhos (C) 12. Sanchez 15. Taua 8. Leo Sena 10. Thiago Lopes 7. Pedro Felipe 9. Carlao
Substitutes
25. Brenno Klippel (G) 14. Carlao 15. Guilherme Mariano 19. Guilherme Queiroz 26. Joao Costa 12. Jordan (G) 17. Marcio Maranhao 20. Marquinho 16. Matheus Sales 27. Pedro Henrique 28. Tortello	70. Cristiano 88. Denner 27. Diego Mathias 23. Igor 94. Jeferson Romario (G) 30. Leocovick 19. Leo Tocantins 4. Lucas Cunha 11. Marlyson 18. Rafael Silva 22. Renan Araujo 20. Wesley Santos
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Moises Egert

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Maciel L. ⚽,
17', Leo Sena 🟨,
44', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Thiago Lopes ↓, Marlyson ↑,
63', Sanchez ↓, Denner ↑,
64', Leo Sena ↓, Leocovick ↑,
67', Leo Gamalho ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
67', Thalles ↓, Carlao ↑,
77', Rafael Gava ↓, Marquinho ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Carlao ⚽, Marlyson (A),
84', Maciel L. 🟨,
84', Jhonny ↓, Renan Araujo ↑,
85', Pedro Felipe ↓, Cristiano ↑,
89', Henrique Teles ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
89', Everton Morelli ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Botafogo SP is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.01.26	Velo Clube - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Botafogo SP - Avaí	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Botafogo SP - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Volta Redonda - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTLWW
- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.01.26	EC Noroeste - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
29.08.25	União São João - EC Noroeste	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	EC Noroeste - União São João	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	EC Noroeste - Atlético Monte Azul	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Linense - EC Noroeste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
24.01.25	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	0:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.08.22	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	2:0
12.07.22	Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste	3:1
27.10.21	Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste	0:0
24.10.21	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	1:2

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