Match Info

Paulista - Round 1

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alfredo de Castilho (Bauru)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping


	EC Noroeste		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.95	3.4	1.88	Watch
	4.05	3.52	1.88	Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.85
	4.18	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.89)	3.37 ↓ (3.53)	1.87 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
23.1%

Draw
27.4%

Red Bull Bragantino
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

26.3%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

EC Noroeste - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Jhonny 3. Carlinhos (C) 5. Pedro Carrerette 44. Maycon 12. Sanchez 15. Taua 8. Leo Sena 72. Peixoto 9. Carlao 7. Pedro Felipe	1. Cleiton (G) 34. Hurtado A. 4. Alix Vinicius 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba 6. Gabriel 22. Gustavo Neves 21. Lucas Barbosa 10. Jhon Jhon 30. Mosquera H. 8. Eduardo Sasha (C)
Substitutes
70. Cristiano 27. Diego Mathias 23. Igor 94. Jeferson Romario (G) 30. Leocovick 19. Leo Tocantins 4. Lucas Cunha 11. Marlyson 18. Rafael Silva 22. Renan Araujo 10. Thiago Lopes 20. Wesley Santos	51. Caue 27. Davi Gomes 3. Eduardo Santos 7. Eric Ramires 37. Fabricio (G) 11. Fernando 57. Marcelinho 35. Matheus Fernandes 14. Pedro Henrique 23. Sant'Anna A. 15. Sosa I. 17. Vinicinho
Coaches
Moises Egert	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jhonny ↓, Wesley Santos ↑,
51', Peixoto 🟨,
54', Carlao 🟨,
61', Gustavo Marques 🟨,
62', Leo Sena ↓, Cristiano ↑,
62', Pedro Felipe ↓, Diego Mathias ↑,
63', Gabriel ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
63', Mosquera H. ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
73', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
73', Gustavo Neves ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
76', Maycon 🟨,
79', Taua ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
80', Hurtado A. ↓, Sant'Anna A. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Jhon Jhon ⚽, Juninho Capixaba (A),
90', Maycon ↓, Marlyson ↑,

Preview

RB Bragantino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, RB Bragantino is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Noroeste: Denner (Injury) PH (Knee Injury)

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho (Achilles Tendon Injury) Fabinho (Knee Injury) Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Mosquera H. (Hamstring Injury) Pedro Henrique (Inactive) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Copa Paulista
29.08.25	União São João - EC Noroeste	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	EC Noroeste - União São João	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	EC Noroeste - Atlético Monte Azul	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Linense - EC Noroeste	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	EC Noroeste - Araçatuba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWT
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Internacional RS - Red Bull Bragantino	3:1 ✺
03.12.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Vitória Salvador	4:0 ✺
26.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.25	Red Bull Bragantino - EC Noroeste	2:1

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