Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday


	São Caetano		Ituano

	1	X	2
	5	3.25	1.75
	4.75	3.1	1.75
	4.35	3.15	1.78
	4.9	2.95	1.77
	5.53	3.03	1.84
	4.8	3.2	1.8
	4.8	3.3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.1)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Caetano
18.9%

Draw
29.4%

Ituano
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

28%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

18.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Caetano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

São Caetano - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

São Caetano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ituano has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ituano is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.04.21	Botafogo SP - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
22.04.21	São Caetano - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
19.04.21	São Bento - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
14.04.21	São Caetano - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
10.04.21	São Paulo - São Caetano	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLTLL
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.04.21	Ituano - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
21.04.21	Internacional de Limeira - Ituano	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Corinthians - Ituano	2:0 ✺
14.04.21	Ituano - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
13.03.21	Santos - Ituano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
24.01.19	São Caetano - Ituano	0:0
17.01.18	Ituano - São Caetano	3:1
21.03.13	São Caetano - Ituano	3:0

São Caetano - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide