Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)


	Corinthians		Ituano

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6	Watch
	1.43	4.33	7
	1.33	4.2	8.5
	1.37	4.25	8.22
	1.4	3.8	7.5
	1.4	4.33	7.7
	1.33	4.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)	4.23 ↑ (4.2)	7.47 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
66.1%

Draw
21.7%

Ituano
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

21.3%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Corinthians - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 4.

Corinthians is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ituano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Corinthians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Corinthians is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.03.23	Corinthians - Santo André	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Santos - Corinthians	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Corinthians - Mirassol	3:0 ✺
16.02.23	Corinthians - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Portuguesa - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWTT
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	Ituano - Santos	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Princesa do Solimões - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	5:1 ✺
22.02.23	Ituano - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Ituano - Santo André	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
06.02.22	Ituano - Corinthians	2:3
18.04.21	Corinthians - Ituano	2:0
15.03.20	Corinthians - Ituano	1:1
20.03.19	Ituano - Corinthians	0:1
26.03.16	Corinthians - Ituano	1:0
22.02.15	Ituano - Corinthians	1:1
09.03.13	Corinthians - Ituano	3:2

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