Match Info

Amapaense - Play Offs - Final

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Augusto Antunes (Santana) 🌤️ ...


	São José		Santos AP

	1	X	2
	2.98	3	2.25
	5.76	3.34	1.63	Watch
	2.9	3	2.25
	3.26	2.8	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.66)	3.04 ↓ (3.29)	2.11 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São José
25%

Draw
30.7%

Santos AP
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

27.7%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São José's form might have worsened.

Santos AP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos AP's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São José, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos AP than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos AP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

São José - Santos AP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Adriel (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
67', 0 - 2, Danilo ⚽,
70', 0 - 3, Adriel ⚽,
89', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent performances by São José have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santos AP is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santos AP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, São José won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São José Macapá
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
23.03.26	São José - Independente	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	Independente - São José	2:2 ✺
11.03.26	São José - Oratório	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Ypiranga Clube - São José	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	São José - Cristal AP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLWW
- Santos AP
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
24.03.26	Oratório - Santos AP	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Santos AP - Oratório	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Santos AP - Macapá	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Santos AP - Trem	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Independente - Santos AP	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
12.02.26	Santos AP - São José	1:2

São José - Santos AP