Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 26

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Säffle		Ahlafors

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.58
	4.2	4.33	1.62
	3.77	4.35	1.6
	4.3	4.2	1.59
	4.2	4.33	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (4.03)	4.28 ↑ (4.2)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Säffle
22.2%

Draw
21.2%

Ahlafors
56.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.6%

21.7%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

20.7%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Säffle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ahlafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Säffle than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Säffle - Ahlafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Säffle has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ahlafors is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ahlafors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ahlafors is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Säffle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.7:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Säffle won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Säffle SK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
13.10.24	Grebbestad - Säffle	4:0 ✺
05.10.24	Säffle - IFK Skövde	1:3 ✺
29.09.24	Säffle - Vänersborgs IF	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Forward - Säffle	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Säffle - Lidkoping	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
12.10.24	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs IF	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Forward - Ahlafors	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Gauthiod - Ahlafors	4:4 ✺
22.09.24	Ahlafors - Kongahälla	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Ahlafors - Herrestads	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
08.06.24	Ahlafors - Säffle	1:1
17.09.22	Ahlafors - Säffle	2:1
29.05.22	Säffle - Ahlafors	3:5

Säffle - Ahlafors