Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Avellino

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2	3.15	3.8	Watch
	2.08	3.16	4.21
	2.13	3.27	3.39	Watch
	2.06	3.18	4.16	Watch
	2	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.13)	3.18 ↓ (3.27)	3.93 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
46.3%

Draw
29.7%

Avellino
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	53.8%	0%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adamonis M. (G) 28. Kofler R. 5. Masiello A. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 14. Coulibaly M. 18. Tronchin S. 17. Casiraghi D. 24. Davi S. 33. Merkaj S. 90. Odogwu R.	30. Daffara G. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 44. Simic L. 63. Fontanarosa A. 2. Missori F. 24. Sounas D. 6. Palmiero L. 20. Palumbo M. 56. Enrici P. 9. Patierno C. 7. Tutino G.
Substitutes
3. Bordon F. 23. Davi F. 94. El Kaouakibi H. 11. Italeng J. 8. Mallamo A. 4. Mancini D. 6. Martini J. 9. Pecorino E. 19. Pietrangeli N. 1. Poluzzi G. (G) 21. Tait F. 7. Zedadka K.	59. Aloisi A. 39. Besaggio M. 14. Biasci T. 17. Crespi V. 8. Gyabuaa M. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 94. Insigne R. 16. Kumi J. 32. Lescano F. 28. Marchisano M. 58. Mellino C. 60. Volpe U.
Coaches
Castori F.	Biancolino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽, Palumbo M. (A),
17', Tronchin S. 🟨,
41', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tronchin S. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
46', Davi S. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
46', Coulibaly M. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
62', Palmiero L. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
65', Odogwu R. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
67', Pecorino E. 🟨,
68', Biasci T. ↓, Crespi V. ↑,
68', Tutino G. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
70', Daffara G. 🟨,
74', Masiello A. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
79', Sounas D. ↓, Gyabuaa M. ↑,
79', Palumbo M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
90+3', Merkaj S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 12).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Südtirol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Südtirol: Italeng J. (Muscle Injury) Pietrangeli N. (Pelvis Injury)

There will not play in Avellino: Armellino M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cagnano A. (Inactive) Crespi V. (Hip Injury) D'Andrea L. (Knee Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Iannarilli A. (Injury) Insigne R. (Muscle Injury) Panico G. (Thigh Injury) Rigione M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Avellino: Russo R. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
23.11.25	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTTLL
- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
22.11.25	Avellino - Empoli	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Cesena - Avellino	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Avellino - Reggiana	4:3 ✺
28.10.25	Pescara - Avellino	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Avellino - Spezia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
02.06.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Avellino	1:0
30.05.21	Avellino - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0

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