Match Info

Serie B - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Avellino		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.42	3	2.98	Watch
	2.45	3.3	3.29
	2.37	2.99	3.18	Watch
	2.57	3.12	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.36)	3.09 ↑ (3.07)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
38.8%

Draw
30.7%

Empoli
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

30.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Avellino - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avellino: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Empoli (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Avellino (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avellino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 4 - 80%). Empoli (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daffara G. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 44. Simic L. 63. Fontanarosa A. 2. Missori F. 39. Besaggio M. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 16. Kumi J. 10. Russo R. 14. Biasci T. 7. Tutino G.	21. Fulignati A. (G) 2. Curto M. 20. Lovato M. (C) 5. Obaretin N. 7. Elia S. 14. Yepes G. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 70. Saporiti E. 27. Moruzzi B. 19. Nasti M. 11. Shpendi S.
Substitutes
56. Enrici P. 8. Gyabuaa M. 32. Lescano F. 28. Marchisano M. 77. Marson L. (G) 58. Mellino C. 78. Milani A. 20. Palumbo M. 45. Pane P. (G) 9. Patierno C. 24. Sounas D.	99. Bianchi F. 79. Carboni F. 15. Ceesay J. 18. Ghion A. 34. Guarino G. 32. Haas N. 10. Ilie R. 28. Indragoli G. 90. Konate I. 9. Pellegri P. 1. Perisan S. (G) 29. Tosto L.
Coaches
Biancolino R.	Dionisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Russo R. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
17', 0 - 1, Elia S. ⚽, Moruzzi B. (A),
22', Degli Innocenti D. 🟨,
30', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
35', Yepes G. 🟨,
41', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Saporiti E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fontanarosa A. ↓, Enrici P. ↑,
46', Cancellotti T. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
58', Besaggio M. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
61', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
61', Shpendi S. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
69', Nasti M. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
69', Yepes G. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
78', Curto M. ↓, Guarino G. ↑,
82', Biasci T. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
90+3', Saporiti E. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 3, Pellegri P. ⚽, Elia S. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).

Avellino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Empoli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Avellino: Armellino M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) D'Andrea L. (Knee Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Iannarilli A. (Injury) Pane P. (Illness)

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Inactive) Ghion A. (Injury) Popov B. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Avellino: Milani A. (Injury) Simic L. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
09.11.25	Cesena - Avellino	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Avellino - Reggiana	4:3 ✺
28.10.25	Pescara - Avellino	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Avellino - Spezia	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Juve Stabia - Avellino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
08.11.25	Empoli - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Virtus Entella - Empoli	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Empoli - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Modena - Empoli	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Empoli - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.02.18	Empoli - Avellino	1:1
30.09.17	Avellino - Empoli	3:2
07.03.14	Empoli - Avellino	0:1
30.09.13	Avellino - Empoli	1:0

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