Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Fano

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.66	3.7	5.5
	1.63	3.5	5.5
	1.62	3.58	5.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	5.31 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
56.9%

Draw
25.9%

Fano
17.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.6%

25.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

16.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Südtirol-Alto Adige that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fano than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Südtirol Alto Adige - Fano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Fano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Südtirol is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie C Group B
27.02.21	Sambenedettese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4 ✺
21.02.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	1:1 ✺
17.02.21	Carpi - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - FeralpiSalò	0:2 ✺
07.02.21	Gubbio - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTLW
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
28.02.21	Fano - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Mantova - Fano	0:2 ✺
17.02.21	Fano - Cesena	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	Sambenedettese - Fano	2:2 ✺
04.02.21	Fano - Carpi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.11.20	Fano - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
16.02.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fano	2:0
29.09.19	Fano - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2
22.01.19	Fano - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:3
26.09.18	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fano	0:0
08.04.18	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fano	2:0
19.11.17	Fano - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	✺

Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fano