Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Fano		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.87
	2.65	2.9	2.55
	2.65	3	2.5
	2.47	2.75	2.9
	2.59	2.99	3.05
	2.5	3	2.88
	2.44	3.04	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.65)	2.97 ↓ (3.13)	2.81 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fano
36.3%

Draw
31%

Cesena
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

21%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cesena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fano - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Fano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.21	Sambenedettese - Fano	2:2 ✺
04.02.21	Fano - Carpi	4:0 ✺
31.01.21	Padova - Fano	1:1 ✺
24.01.21	Fano - Perugia	0:0 ✺
16.01.21	Fano - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWTTT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
30.01.21	Triestina - Cesena	2:1 ✺
24.01.21	Cesena - Virtus Verona	1:3 ✺
16.01.21	Arezzo - Cesena	0:2 ✺
09.01.21	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
23.12.20	Imolese - Cesena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.10.20	Cesena - Fano	3:0
07.12.19	Cesena - Fano	0:4
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Cesena - Fano	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	✺

Fano - Cesena