Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mantova		Fano

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.8
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.9	3.15	3.75
	1.99	3	3.55
	2.1	3.33	3.65
	2	3.2	3.7
	1.97	3.4	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.9)	3.21 ↑ (3.18)	3.63 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
46.4%

Draw
28.5%

Fano
25.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

19.5%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mantova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fano than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mantova - Fano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Mantova is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mantova will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
18.02.21	Matelica - Mantova	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Mantova - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	Perugia - Mantova	4:2 ✺
04.02.21	Mantova - Padova	0:6 ✺
01.02.21	Carpi - Mantova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
17.02.21	Fano - Cesena	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	Sambenedettese - Fano	2:2 ✺
04.02.21	Fano - Carpi	4:0 ✺
31.01.21	Padova - Fano	1:1 ✺
24.01.21	Fano - Perugia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.20	Fano - Mantova	1:2
02.04.17	Fano - Mantova	1:1
12.11.16	Mantova - Fano	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺

Mantova - Fano