Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)


	SC Lusitânia		Os Marialvas

	1	X	2
	3.45	2.98	2.08
	3.94	2.92	1.96
	3.75	3.03	2.01	Watch
	3.75	2.7	2
	3.87	2.96	1.98
	3.8	2.9	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)	2.92 ↓ (3.14)	2.01 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
24%

Draw
31%

Os Marialvas
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.6%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

28.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Os Marialvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

SC Lusitânia - Os Marialvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, ⚽,
18', 0 - 3, ⚽,
34', 0 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

SC Lusitânia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marialvas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SC Lusitânia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marialvas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Os Marialvas	4	3	0	1	8:2	6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.02.26	Naval - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Fatima - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Samora Correia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Peniche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLLT
- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
25.01.26	SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Os Marialvas - Eléctrico	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Vitória de Sernache - Os Marialvas	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Os Marialvas - Lajense	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Naval - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.09.25	Os Marialvas - SC Lusitânia	1:1

SC Lusitânia - Os Marialvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide