The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SD Aucas 28.7%
Draw 29.6%
Independiente del Valle 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
28.5%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
28.7%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Aucas's form might have worsened.
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente del Valle's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Aucas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
60%
40%
SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Ind del Valle (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Piedra H. (C) 37. Zova A. 16. Gustavino L. 63. Garcia A. 28. Quinonez R. 14. Tapiero S. 57. Vera M. 21. Guzman P. 18. Mena A. 10. Preciado E. 29. Arroyo L.
1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. 5. Schunke R. 19. Loor L. 6. Alcivar J. 17. Rodriguez A. 16. Briones R. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 31. Pata E. 99. Reasco D.
Substitutes
11. Bolanos R. 12. Cabezas J. (G) 31. Carabali B. 20. Espinosa D. S. 33. Porozo S. 5. Serpa T.
50. Angulo J. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 55. Guagua D. 8. Ochoa Y. 70. Peralta M. (G) 11. Perello M. 28. Quintana H. 56. Quintero H. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J.
Coaches
Araujo N.
Papa J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Preciado E. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Pata E. ⚽, Romero Padilla D. A. (A),
45+5', 0 - 2, Reasco D. ⚽, Loor L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Quinonez R. 🟨,
59', Gustavino L. 🟨,
60', Guzman P. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
66', Briones R. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
72', Tapiero S. 🟨,
77', Sornoza J. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
77', Reasco D. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
77', Pata E. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
77', Mena A. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Quintana H. ⚽, Perello M. (A),
90', Rodriguez A. ↓, Quintero H. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 0.
Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
Aucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2:1.7).
Ecuador
Peru
Usa
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Piedra H. (C) 
Tapiero S. 
Carabajal M. 
Quintana H. 
Viacava J. 
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