Match Info

Copa Ecuador - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito) 🌤️ ...


	LDU Quito		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.20	4.20
	1.78	3.3	4.2
	1.74	3.48	4.79
	1.74	3.51	4.77
	1.7	3.4	4.7
	1.7	3.87	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)	3.44 ↓ (3.48)	4.48 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
52.8%

Draw
26.7%

SD Aucas
20.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

LDU Quito - SD Aucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 4. Ade R. (C) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 10. Alvarado A. 67. Carabali J. 20. Cornejo F. 13. Corozo J. 11. Estrada M. 8. Pretell J. 23. Quinonez Y. 31. Rodriguez J.	13. Piedra H. (C) 11. Bolanos R. 34. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 16. Gustavino L. 21. Guzman P. 18. Mena A. 2. Morales S. 28. Quinonez R. 6. Spina A. L. 14. Tapiero S. 37. Zova A.
Substitutes
21. Castillo E. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 99. Luna Tobar C. 3. Mina R. 27. Mina R. 25. Ortiz P. 44. Segovia L. 77. Velasco K. 15. Villamil G.	12. Cabezas J. (G) 31. Carabali B. 1. Chaves I. (G) 20. Espinosa D. S. 30. Oyola B. 5. Serpa T. 17. Zambrano C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Estrada M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, LDU Quito is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.08.26	LDU Quito - Emelec	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.26	LDU Quito - Mirassol	1:0 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.08.26	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.26	Mirassol - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.08.26	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWTL
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.08.26	Delfín - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
12.08.26	La Unión - SD Aucas	1:2 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.08.26	SD Aucas - Leones del Norte	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Emelec - SD Aucas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.08.26	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	0:1
22.04.26	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	0:0
09.08.25	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	1:0
18.04.25	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	3:1
17.08.24	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	0:1
16.03.24	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	1:2
13.08.23	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	0:0

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