Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	SD Logroñés		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.4
	2.8	2.85	2.4
	2.95	2.95	2.5
	2.87	2.98	2.38
	3.06	2.97	2.53
	2	2.8	3.5
	2.96	2.94	2.5
	2.9	2.9	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.17)	2.91 ↑ (2.8)	2.58 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
32.9%

Draw
31.5%

Sabadell
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

32.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Logroñés's form might have worsened.

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabadell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabadell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

SD Logroñés - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 6. Elosegi G. 4. Murua J. 5. Aurtenetxe J. 3. Paredes J. 8. Castellano J. 23. Miceli A. 14. Cova A. 10. Ferni 18. Manny 17. Escobar J.	13. Ortola A. (G) 11. Astals D. 18. Salvador C. 15. Amelibia J. 5. Resta P. 16. Herrero T. 12. Domenech M. 7. Moyano A. 8. Gualda A. 22. Abde 17. Kopotun V.
Substitutes
11. Carmona P. 19. Conejero M. 16. Ezkurdia I. 7. Fernandez O. 26. Gonzalez P. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 28. Marin Criado J. M. 13. Marti O. (G) 20. Sabater D. 2. Trespalacios A.	20. Baena R. 6. Calavera J. 19. Garcia N. 10. Herrera C. 1. Leal F. (G) 9. Martinez M. 4. Pujol R. 27. Saez M. 26. Sander Ballero 23. Soto D.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

SD Logroñés is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sabadell is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SD Logroñés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.01.24	Rayo Majadahonda - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	SD Logroñés - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
04.01.24	Osasuna B - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	SD Logroñés - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Teruel - SD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.01.24	Sabadell - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Cornellà - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
04.01.24	Sabadell - Tarazona	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Leonesa - Sabadell	3:0 ✺
09.12.23	Sabadell - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.09.23	Sabadell - SD Logroñés	1:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.04.23	SD Logroñés - Sabadell	0:1
26.11.22	Sabadell - SD Logroñés	0:0

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