Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Sabadell		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.95	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.5	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.44	3.31	2.15
	4	3.2	1.73
	3.19	3.18	2.22
	3.45	3.15	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (4.39)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	2.03 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
26.2%

Draw
28.8%

Celta de Vigo B
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

28.8%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

27.7%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabadell's performance.

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celta de Vigo B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Sabadell - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Celta de Vigo B will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ortola A. (C) 11. Astals D. 18. Salvador C. 15. Amelibia J. 5. Resta P. 16. Herrero T. 12. Domenech M. 7. Moyano A. 8. Gualda A. 22. Abde 17. Kopotun V.	24. Fernandez C. G. (G) 20. Rodriguez J. 26. Lago Y. 28. Fernandez M. 18. Lopez J. 15. Lopez F. 6. Rodriguez D. (C) 14. Roman M. 25. Antanon L. 16. Gonzalez D. 11. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
20. Baena R. 6. Beitia C. 3. Carrion J. 19. Garcia N. 10. Herrera C. 1. Leal F. (G) 2. Lopez V. (G) 9. Martinez M. 4. Pujol R. 27. Saez M. 26. Sander Ballero 23. Soto D.	10. Blanco R. 32. Cantero M. 29. de la Iglesia D. 4. Dominguez J. 9. Duran P. 8. Iglesias Lois B. 19. Manu 31. Wauthier H. (G)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Sabadell is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Celta de Vigo B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Celta de Vigo B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.01.24	Cornellà - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
04.01.24	Sabadell - Tarazona	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Leonesa - Sabadell	3:0 ✺
09.12.23	Sabadell - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Arenteiro - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWL
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.01.24	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
02.01.24	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Fuenlabrada - Celta de Vigo B	0:2 ✺
09.12.23	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	SD Logroñés - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.10.23	Celta de Vigo B - Sabadell	4:2

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