Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	SD Logroñés		Utebo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.12	3.05	3.15
	2.25	3.05	3.34
	2.2	2.88	3
	2.2	3.25	3.25
	2.28	3.17	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.28)	3.07 ↓ (3.18)	3.06 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
40.8%

Draw
29.6%

Utebo
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

SD Logroñés - Utebo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Fernandez A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Marin D. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, San Martin D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

SD Logroñés has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Utebo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SD Logroñés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Utebo FC	5	1	3	1	5:5	0	6
16	SD Logrones	5	0	2	3	4:11	-7	2

Last Results with these Odds

SD Logroñés - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.87%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.03.26	Amorebieta - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	SD Logroñés - Mutilvera	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	UD Logroñés - SD Logroñés	5:0 ✺
22.02.26	SD Logroñés - Beasain	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ebro - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTT
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.03.26	Utebo - Zaragoza B	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Alavés B - Utebo	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Utebo - Ejea	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Tudelano - Utebo	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Utebo - Alfaro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.10.25	Utebo - SD Logroñés	3:2
04.05.25	Utebo - SD Logroñés	2:1
22.12.24	SD Logroñés - Utebo	0:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
24.01.18	Utebo - SD Logroñés	1:3
10.01.18	SD Logroñés - Utebo	2:2

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