The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TPS 17.7%
Draw 24.5%
KuPS Kuopio 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
25.1%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
24.6%
56.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
6.2%
81.2%
TPS - KuPS Kuopio Predictions
Users Predictions:
KuPS Kuopio will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Henriksson E. (G) 2. Haggstrom O. 14. Hradecky M. 3. Turkki E. 77. Karkulowski T. 28. Vakiparta T. 6. Juvanteny P. 20. Kauppila M. 22. Zaal T. 29. Muzaci A. (C) 11. Vauhkonen E.
1. Kreidl J. (G) 3. Heiskanen S. 33. Hamalainen T. 23. Lotjonen A. 25. Antwi C. 6. Savolainen S. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 13. Kujasalo N. 34. Ruoppi O. 24. Armah B. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
Substitutes
41. Anini S. 15. Azongnitode C. 8. Coulibaly A. 26. Ikonen L. 9. Ivanovic L. 35. Lauri D. (G) 4. Sairinen A. 17. Sihvonen A. 24. Talo N.
4. Adams K. 9. Engvall G. 17. Heinonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 29. Puukko A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 18. Tanninen E. 2. Ward K.
Coaches
Pinol I.
Nuutinen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Hamalainen T. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Ruoppi O. ⚽, Heiskanen S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
46', Savolainen S. ↓, Puukko A. ↑,
49', Juvanteny P. 🟨,
63', Karkulowski T. ↓, Talo N. ↑,
63', Heiskanen S. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
63', Armah B. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
63', Juvanteny P. ↓, Ikonen L. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽, Engvall G. (A),
76', Kauppila M. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,
76', Vakiparta T. ↓, Anini S. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Ruoppi O. (Own goal),
86', Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
90+1', Anini S. 🟨,
90+3', Pinol I. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
TPS is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, KuPS has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, TPS has had a series of away games.
In this match, KuPS is a strong favorite.
There will not play in KuPS: Gasc V. R.
(Yellow Cards)
Kabuye C.
(Injury)
Magassa B.
(Red Card)
Pasanen S.
(Injury)
Voutilainen J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in TPS: Tsirigotis T.
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, TPS won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).
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Henriksson E. (G) 
Juvanteny P. 
Zaal T. 
Muzaci A. (C) 
Kreidl J. (G) 
Antwi C. 
Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 
Azongnitode C. 
Coulibaly A. 
Ivanovic L. 
Engvall G. 
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